Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk IDR 434, price IDR 1,570, upside -72.4%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 119.26 IDR – 4,050 IDR · fair‑value band 278.56 IDR – 773.22 IDR · the 1,570 IDR price screens above the 433.98 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes plastic building materials in Indonesia and internationally. It operates in three segments: Manufacture, Distribution, and Real Estate.
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PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes plastic building materials in Indonesia and internationally. It operates in three segments: Manufacture, Distribution, and Real Estate. The company offers various roofing products, including polycarbonate, vinyl and vinyl composite, fiber reinforced polyester, and PET bottles series roofing sheets; fire retardant and polyethylene cladding and ceiling products; flooring products; cubicle system toilets; uPVC pipes; silicone sealants and PVC solvent cement; and corrugated polypropylene packaging sheets. It also distributes roofing sheets of plastic, plastic resin and adhesive, and interior products, as well as developing properties. PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC) currently trades at 1,570 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 433.98 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 261.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 256.73 IDR per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1,570 IDR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 105.03 IDR, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 278.56 IDR (bear) to 773.22 IDR (bull), the price of 1,570 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Impack Pratama Industri Tbk reported revenue of 4.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 2.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was 620B IDR in FY2025, compounding +34.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 85.5T IDR (≈ $8.5B) · P/E ratio 128.6 · P/S ratio 18.7 · EPS (TTM) 12.21 IDR · Net margin 14.5% · Return on equity 24.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.2% · Operating margin 20.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −72%, IMPC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.7500 IDR to 413.88 IDR). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 278.56 IDRFair Value 433.98 IDRBull 773.22 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (8.93 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+26.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.37% vs 19%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 20%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+52.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +48.4% a year for the price.
Compare Impack Pratama Industri Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 253 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Above median
Fair Value upside−72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Return on assets11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth25% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)128.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B27.21× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)18.95× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA84.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)97· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)93· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Impack Pratama Industri Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IMPC
Frequently asked questions
Is Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 433.98 IDR versus a price of 1,570 IDR, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IMPC?
Our model-based fair value for Impack Pratama Industri Tbk is 433.98 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,570 IDR.
What is the quality score of IMPC?
Impack Pratama Industri Tbk has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 433.98 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 278.56 IDR, optimistic scenario 773.22 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Impack Pratama Industri Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 433.98 IDR, about −72% upside versus a price of 1,570 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 278.56 IDR, optimistic scenario 773.22 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
Impack Pratama Industri Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.5T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Impack Pratama Industri Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +52.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IMPC use?
Our models discount Impack Pratama Industri Tbk at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Impack Pratama Industri Tbk that is +52.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Impack Pratama Industri Tbk grew +18.9 % a year. The price currently implies +52.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (+52.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.67 %: that much free cash flow Impack Pratama Industri Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Impack Pratama Industri Tbk it is 433.98 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,570 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Impack Pratama Industri Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IMPC trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,570 IDR, fair value 433.98 IDR, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IMPC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,570 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (433.98 IDR). For Impack Pratama Industri Tbk the two are 1,136 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Impack Pratama Industri Tbk worth?
The market values Impack Pratama Industri Tbk at about 85.5T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,570 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 433.98 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IMPC?
Our models span a range for Impack Pratama Industri Tbk: cautious scenario 278.56 IDR, base 433.98 IDR, optimistic 773.22 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,570 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IMPC?
Impack Pratama Industri Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 128.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 433.98 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 27.2, P/S 19.0, EV/EBITDA 84.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 24.3%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IMPC from its 52-week high?
Impack Pratama Industri Tbk trades at 1,570 IDR, about 61% below its 52-week high of 4,050 IDR and 20% above the low of 1,305 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 433.98 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Impack Pratama Industri Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Impack Pratama Industri Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,570 IDR, calculated fair value 433.98 IDR (−72%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IMPC calculated?
We run Impack Pratama Industri Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 433.98 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Impack Pratama Industri Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1,570 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 433.98 IDR, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Impack Pratama Industri Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (773.22 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (278.56 IDR to 773.22 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC) come from?
Earnings per share at Impack Pratama Industri Tbk grew +17.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.2 %, EBIT margin −0.5 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
The market capitalisation of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk is 85.5T IDR (≈ $8.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk is 18.7 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
Earnings per share at Impack Pratama Industri Tbk are 12.21 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 128.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
The net margin of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk is 14.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk is 24.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk is 15.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
The operating margin of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk is 20.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
Revenue at Impack Pratama Industri Tbk is growing +25.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC)?
Earnings per share at Impack Pratama Industri Tbk are growing +31.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Impack Pratama Industri Tbk (IMPC) carry?
The net debt of Impack Pratama Industri Tbk is 338B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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