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Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Meta Platforms, Inc €711, price €650, upside +9.5%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · IT · ISIN US30303M1027

MP Broad data Oct 2, 2026

Meta Platforms, Inc

1FB · MI

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value €711.48 · Fairly valued (+9.5%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +19.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 32.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.3% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 99/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€705.96 €89.27 Fair Value €711.48 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €89.27 – €705.96 · fair‑value band €401.53 – €907.78 · the €649.50 price screens below the €711.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally.

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Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). The FoA segment offers Facebook, which enables people to build community through feed, reels, stories, groups, marketplace, and other; Instagram that brings people closer through Instagram feed, stories, reels, live, and messaging; Messenger, a messaging application for people to connect with friends, family, communities, and businesses across platforms and devices through text, audio, and video calls; Meta AI, an assistant that's available across apps, as a stand-alone app, on AI glasses, and on the web; Threads, an application for text-based updates and public conversations; and WhatsApp, a messaging application that is used by people and businesses to communicate and transact. The RL segment provides virtual and augmented reality products, including consumer hardware, software, and content that help people feel connected, as well as Meta Quest devices that enable social experiences across gaming, fitness, entertainment, and more. The segment also includes wearables such as AI glasses like Ray Ban Meta and Oakley Meta glasses; and the Meta Ray Ban Display, which combines AI glasses with an integrated lens display and the Meta Neural Band, a wrist worn device using electromyography that lets people control their AI glasses through neuromuscular signals. Meta Platforms, Inc. has a collaboration with Microsoft Corporation, NVIDIA Corporation, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., Broadcom Inc., and OpenAI, L.L.C. The company was formerly known as Facebook, Inc. and changed its name to Meta Platforms, Inc. in October 2021. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

Stock analysis

Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB) currently trades at €649.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €711.48, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 8.7%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €713.42 per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the €649.50 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €274.65, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €401.53 (bear) to €907.78 (bull), the price of €649.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Meta Platforms, Inc reported revenue of $201B in FY2025 versus $117B in FY2022, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was $60.5B in FY2025, compounding +37.6%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap €1.6T · P/E ratio 21.4 · P/S ratio 6.44 · EPS (TTM) €24.16 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 30.1% · Return on equity 32.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 21.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 10%, 1FB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €401.53 Fair Value €711.48 Bull €907.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€16.68 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €317.71 €538.52 €1,219 71
EPV €256.86 €303.82 €345.57 71
Growth DCF €301.38 €610.24 €1,241 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €317.71 €538.52 €1,219 71
Owner Earnings €60.10 €153.24 €357.52 66
5Y Revenue Exit €211.08 €381.30 €716.43 66
5Y EBITDA Exit €349.02 €675.15 €1,282 68
5Y P/E Exit €372.92 €821.21 €1,409 65
10Y Revenue Exit €233.66 €475.00 €719.33 62
10Y EBITDA Exit €341.41 €750.87 €1,522 61
10Y P/E Exit €358.77 €798.67 €1,580 57
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €166.30 €1,160 €1,628 60
Lynch FV €364.80 €521.14 €677.48 58
PEG = 1.0 €364.80 €521.14 €677.48 55
EPV €256.86 €303.82 €345.57 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €20.72 €45.22 €76.09 63
DDM Multi-Stage €20.72 €37.05 €47.13 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €403.51 €538.02 €672.52 63
P/S Multiple €213.39 €284.52 €355.65 58
P/B Multiple €230.67 €307.56 €384.45 55
EV/EBIT €394.97 €529.71 €664.45 66
EV/EBITDA €361.69 €485.33 €608.98 67
EV/Revenue €161.46 €234.62 €307.78 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €43.94 €58.88 €87.87 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €301.38 €610.24 €1,241 70
Rev-Margin DCF €211.08 €417.97 €732.07 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income €167.66 €274.65 €725.59 64
ROIC Compounder €327.63 €489.42 €721.36 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €499.39 €713.42 €927.44 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 81
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+50.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+49.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 41%
2025 sits 57% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +25.1% a year for the price and +15.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+25.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+19.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+17.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+15.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+12.9%

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.

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Meta Platforms, Inc · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Meta Platforms, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1FB

Frequently asked questions

Is Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €711.48 versus a price of €649.50, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1FB?
Our model-based fair value for Meta Platforms, Inc is €711.48 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €649.50.
What is the quality score of 1FB?
Meta Platforms, Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €711.48 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €401.53, optimistic scenario €907.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Meta Platforms, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €711.48, about +10% upside versus a price of €649.50 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €401.53, optimistic scenario €907.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
Meta Platforms, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $215B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Meta Platforms, Inc pay a dividend?
Meta Platforms, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.32% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Meta Platforms, Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +28.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +19.9 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1FB use?
Our models discount Meta Platforms, Inc at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 1.23, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Meta Platforms, Inc that is +28.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Meta Platforms, Inc grew +19.9 % a year. The price currently implies +28.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Meta Platforms, Inc (+28.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.49 %: that much free cash flow Meta Platforms, Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Meta Platforms, Inc it is €711.48 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of €649.50. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Meta Platforms, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 1FB trades below its calculated fair value: price €649.50, fair value €711.48, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1FB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€649.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€711.48). For Meta Platforms, Inc the two are €61.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Meta Platforms, Inc worth?
The market values Meta Platforms, Inc at about €1.6T (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is €649.50; our models calculate a fair value of €711.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1FB?
Our models span a range for Meta Platforms, Inc: cautious scenario €401.53, base €711.48, optimistic €907.78 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price €649.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 1FB from its 52-week high?
Meta Platforms, Inc trades at €649.50, about 4% below its 52-week high of €674.40 and 42% above the low of €458.07 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €711.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Meta Platforms, Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, Baidu, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Meta Platforms, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price €649.50, calculated fair value €711.48 (+10%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1FB calculated?
We run Meta Platforms, Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €711.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Meta Platforms, Inc currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €649.50. Our model-based fair value is €711.48, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Meta Platforms, Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€401.53 to €907.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Meta Platforms, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
The market capitalisation of Meta Platforms, Inc is €1.6T. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Meta Platforms, Inc is 21.4 (as of Jul 3, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Meta Platforms, Inc is 6.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
Earnings per share at Meta Platforms, Inc are €24.16 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
The dividend yield of Meta Platforms, Inc is 0.3% (payout 8.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
The net margin of Meta Platforms, Inc is 30.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Meta Platforms, Inc is 32.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Meta Platforms, Inc is 21.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
The operating margin of Meta Platforms, Inc is 40.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
Revenue at Meta Platforms, Inc is growing +33.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB)?
Earnings per share at Meta Platforms, Inc are growing +62.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Meta Platforms, Inc (1FB) carry?
The net debt of Meta Platforms, Inc is $22.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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