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Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Robinhood Markets, Inc €31.38, price €102, upside -69.2%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · IT · ISIN US7707001027

RM Broad data Sep 29, 2026

Robinhood Markets, Inc

1HOOD · MI

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €31.38 · Strongly overvalued (−69.2%)
✓Quality 64/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +48.8 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 41.1% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 83/100

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€110.46 €64.06 Fair Value €31.38 May 2026 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range €64.06 – €110.46 · fair‑value band €22.08 – €45.93 · the €101.82 price screens above the €31.38 fair value. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates financial services platform in the United States. The company's platform allows users to invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and American depository receipts.

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Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates financial services platform in the United States. The company's platform allows users to invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and American depository receipts. It offers fractional trading, recurring investments, access to investing on margin, fully-paid securities lending, cash sweep, instant withdrawals, retirement program, around-the-clock trading, joint investing accounts, event contracts, future contract services, and short selling. The company also provides various learning and education solutions comprise Snacks, an accessible digest of business news stories for a new generation of investors; Learn, which is an online collection of guides, feature tutorials, and financial dictionary; Newsfeeds that offer access to free, premium news from sites from various sites, such as Barron's, Reuters, and Dow Jones. In addition, the company offers In-App Education, a resource that covers investing fundamentals, including why people invest, a stock market overview, and tips on how to define investing goals, as well as allows customers to understand the basics of investing before their first trade; and Crypto Learn and Earn, an educational module available to various crypto customers through Robinhood Learn to teach customers the basics related to cryptocurrency. Further, it provides Robinhood credit cards, cash card and spending accounts, and wallets. Robinhood Markets, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

Stock analysis

Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD) currently trades at €101.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €31.38, 69.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of €73.99 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the €101.82 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €6.88, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €22.08 (bear) to €45.93 (bull), the price of €101.82 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Robinhood Markets, Inc reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2022, a compound +48.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €91.8B · P/E ratio 55.1 · P/S ratio 23.2 · EPS (TTM) €1.81 · Net margin 42.1% · Return on equity 21.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% · Operating margin 38.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −69%, 1HOOD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €22.08 Fair Value €31.38 Bull €45.93
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€1.37 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €32.94 €60.66 €106.10 67
Rev-Margin DCF €19.94 €29.04 €48.30 64
Owner Earnings €38.53 €81.59 €171.97 63
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €38.53 €81.59 €171.97 63
5Y P/E Exit €28.55 €55.99 €93.08 61
10Y P/E Exit €30.78 €59.93 €107.12 54
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €14.38 €100.26 €140.70 59
Lynch FV €51.80 €73.99 €96.19 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple €20.61 €27.48 €34.35 63
P/B Multiple €10.77 €14.37 €17.96 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €5.13 €6.88 €10.26 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €32.94 €60.66 €106.10 67
Rev-Margin DCF €19.94 €29.04 €48.30 64
Economic Profit
Residual Income €14.07 €18.91 €35.75 62

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+51.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−71.1% (2022) → 46.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.4% a year for the price and +15.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+12.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+23.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+20.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+18.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+15.5%

1HOOD screens overvalued: fair value 69% below the price. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $188.08 $314.07 +67%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $900.36 $766.86 −15%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $97.74 $118.07 +21%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $89.24 $23.12 −74%
Macquarie Group MQG A$245.63 A$80.51 −67%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥26.29 ¥18.35 −30%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.21 ¥19.35 +12%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.28 ¥4.94 −73%
Nomura Holdings NMR $9.91 $10.19 +3%
LPL Financial Holdings LPLA $308.05 $126.09 −59%

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Robinhood Markets, Inc · Fair Value
€31.38 −69%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Robinhood Markets, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1HOOD

Frequently asked questions

Is Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €31.38 versus a price of €101.82, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1HOOD?
Our model-based fair value for Robinhood Markets, Inc is €31.38 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €101.82.
What is the quality score of 1HOOD?
Robinhood Markets, Inc has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €31.38 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario €22.08, optimistic scenario €45.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Robinhood Markets, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €31.38, about −69% upside versus a price of €101.82 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €22.08, optimistic scenario €45.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
Robinhood Markets, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Robinhood Markets, Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +45.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +48.8 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1HOOD use?
Our models discount Robinhood Markets, Inc at 14.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 2.35, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Robinhood Markets, Inc that is +45.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Robinhood Markets, Inc grew +48.8 % a year. The price currently implies +45.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Robinhood Markets, Inc (+45.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.53 %: that much free cash flow Robinhood Markets, Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Robinhood Markets, Inc it is €31.38 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €101.82. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Robinhood Markets, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, 1HOOD trades above its calculated fair value: price €101.82, fair value €31.38, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1HOOD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€101.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€31.38). For Robinhood Markets, Inc the two are €70.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Robinhood Markets, Inc worth?
The market values Robinhood Markets, Inc at about €91.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €101.82; our models calculate a fair value of €31.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1HOOD?
Our models span a range for Robinhood Markets, Inc: cautious scenario €22.08, base €31.38, optimistic €45.93 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €101.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Which stocks are comparable to Robinhood Markets, Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Robinhood Markets, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €101.82, calculated fair value €31.38 (−69%), Quality Score 64/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1HOOD calculated?
We run Robinhood Markets, Inc through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €31.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Robinhood Markets, Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €101.82. Our model-based fair value is €31.38, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Robinhood Markets, Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€45.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€22.08 to €45.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Robinhood Markets, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
The market capitalisation of Robinhood Markets, Inc is €91.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Robinhood Markets, Inc is 55.1 (as of Jul 3, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Robinhood Markets, Inc is 23.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
Earnings per share at Robinhood Markets, Inc are €1.81 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 55.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
The net margin of Robinhood Markets, Inc is 42.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Robinhood Markets, Inc is 21.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Robinhood Markets, Inc is 0.6% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
The operating margin of Robinhood Markets, Inc is 38.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
Revenue at Robinhood Markets, Inc is growing +15.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +48.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD)?
Earnings per share at Robinhood Markets, Inc are growing +2.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Robinhood Markets, Inc (1HOOD) carry?
The net debt of Robinhood Markets, Inc is $7.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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