Shenzhen SEG Co (200058) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CN · Market cap HK$2.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from HK$1.73 to HK$1.93 (+11.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +4.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 25% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$1.30 to HK$2.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.33 – HK$2.13 · fair‑value band HK$1.30 – HK$2.57 · the HK$1.55 price screens below the HK$1.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
Shenzhen SEG Co (200058) currently trades at HK$1.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.93, implying the stock looks roughly 24.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen SEG Co generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue declined 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. Net debt stands at HK$223M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.30 (bear case) to HK$2.57 (bull case); at HK$1.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 25%, 200058 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$1.92) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shenzhen SEG Co.,Ltd engages in the operation and management of electronic markets, property management and urban services, new energy, inspection and testing, and real estate development businesses in China.
Full company description
Shenzhen SEG Co.,Ltd engages in the operation and management of electronic markets, property management and urban services, new energy, inspection and testing, and real estate development businesses in China. It is also involved in cadmium telluride photovoltaic glass manufacturing; power station installation; construction, operation, and distribution of photovoltaics, and energy storage; building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) solutions; intelligent photovoltaic-storage-charging systems; integrated energy management for low-carbon industrial parks; and photovoltaic power station project construction and distribution, as well as photovoltaic power plant operation and maintenance. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Shenzhen, China. Shenzhen SEG Co.,Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Shenzhen Electronics Group Co.,Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shenzhen SEG Co reported revenue of HK$1.6B in FY2025 versus HK$2.0B in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$67.6M in FY2025, compounding −9.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 520 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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