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Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings (200488) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap HK$1.8B

PriceHK$0.5600
Fair ValueHK$0.9700
Upside+73.2%
Quality90/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.7300 – HK$1.22

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings (200488) currently trades at HK$0.5600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9700 — implying the stock looks roughly 73.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 90/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited engages in the pulp production and paper making in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Machine Paper, Financial Services, Hotels and Property Rentals, and Other. The company offers culture paper, copperplate paper, coated paper, white cardboard, copy paper, industrial paper, special paper, life paper, newspaper, and thermal and glassine paper, as well as household paper comprising toilet papers, facial tissues, pocket tissues, napkins, and paper towels; and paper making raw materials, machinery, and chemicals. It also generates and sells electric and thermal power; engages in the forestry, saplings growing, and processing and sale of timber and construction materials; manufactures, processes, and sells wood products; purchases and sells waste; and provides wall materials, logistics, panels, and coal, as well as financial leasing, and equipment financial and operating leasing services. In addition, the company is invo…

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings (200488) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.9700 versus a price of HK$0.5600 — about +73% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 200488?
Our 21-model fair value for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings is HK$0.9700 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5600.
What is the quality score of 200488?
Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings has a Quality Score of 90/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.