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ADAMA Ltd (200553) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap HK$6.8B

AL ADAMA Ltd 200553 · SHE
PriceHK$3.03
Fair ValueHK$7.22
Upside+138.3%
Quality59/100
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Evidence: Medium Range HK$4.38 – HK$10.06

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026 — revised from HK$14.28 to HK$7.22 (−49.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$3.17 HK$2.25 Fair Value HK$7.22 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$2.25 – HK$3.17 · fair‑value band HK$4.38 – HK$10.06 · the HK$3.03 price screens below the HK$7.22 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

ADAMA Ltd (200553) currently trades at HK$3.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.22 — implying the stock looks roughly 138.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ADAMA Ltd generated revenue of HK$29.0B at a net margin of -2.2%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.4%. Net debt stands at HK$9.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.38 (bear case) to HK$10.06 (bull case); at HK$3.03, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside — at 138%, 200553 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$29.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.5%
Net margin -2.2%
Return on equity -3.4%
Free cash flow HK$2.8B FY2025
Operating margin 8.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.3100
EPS growth (YoY) +277%
Net debt HK$9.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

ADAMA Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and commercializes crop protection products in Israel and internationally. The company operates through Crop Protection (Agro), and Intermediates and Ingredients segments. It provides herbicides, fungicides, and insecticides to protect agricultural crops from weeds, diseases, and insects; and other crop-protection products, such as miticides and nematicides, and intermediates to produce active ingredients for crop protection, as well as seed treatment products. The company also offers intermediate materials and ingredients, such as food additives; synthetic aromatic products; Lycopan, an oxidization retardant; dietary supplements; food colors; texture and flavor enhancers; and food fortification ingredients. In addition, it provides fragrance products for perfume, cosmetics, body care, and detergent industries; industrial products; and consumer and professional solutions. It primarily operates in Europe, Africa, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ADAMA Ltd reported revenue of HK$28.9B in FY2025 versus HK$31.0B in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.0B in FY2025.

Revenue −1.7%/yr
FY21 HK$31.0B
FY22 HK$37.4B
FY23 HK$32.8B
FY24 HK$29.5B
FY25 HK$28.9B
Net income
FY21 HK$157M
FY22 HK$609M
FY23 −HK$1.6B
FY24 −HK$2.9B
FY25 −HK$1.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ADAMA Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/200553

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Frequently asked questions

Is ADAMA Ltd (200553) undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.22 versus a price of HK$3.03 — about +138% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 200553?
Our model-based fair value for ADAMA Ltd is HK$7.22 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$3.03.
What is the quality score of 200553?
ADAMA Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of ADAMA Ltd (200553)?
ADAMA Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$29.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 200553?
The net profit margin of ADAMA Ltd is about -2.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.