Wafangdian Bearing Company (200706) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap HK$1.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$2.35 to HK$2.36 (+0.4%) since Jul 7, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from HK$1.76 (bear) to HK$2.97 (bull), base HK$2.36. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.35 – HK$4.13 · fair‑value band HK$1.76 – HK$2.97 · the HK$2.80 price screens above the HK$2.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Wafangdian Bearing Company (200706) currently trades at HK$2.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.36, implying the stock looks roughly 15.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wafangdian Bearing Company generated revenue of HK$2.3B at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue declined 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.7%. Net debt stands at HK$16.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.76 (bear case) to HK$2.97 (bull case); at HK$2.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -16%, 200706 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$10.12) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.3300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wafangdian Bearing Company Limited is involved in manufacturing and selling of bearing, mechanical equipment, auto parts, abrasives, casting, tooling, and related products in China and internationally. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Wafangdian, China.
Full company description
Wafangdian Bearing Company Limited is involved in manufacturing and selling of bearing, mechanical equipment, auto parts, abrasives, casting, tooling, and related products in China and internationally. It also exports its products. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Wafangdian, China. Wafangdian Bearing Company Limited is a subsidiary of Wafangdian Bearing Group Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wafangdian Bearing Company reported revenue of HK$2.4B in FY2025 versus HK$2.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$58.1M in FY2025.
200706 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 122 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$144.80 | HK$78.62 | -46% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $408.44 | $344.67 | -16% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $555.65 | $179.94 | -68% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $286.97 | $151.86 | -47% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $102.90 | $52.80 | -49% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 259.50 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $130.25 | $64.85 | -50% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $97.92 | $69.71 | -29% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥30.08 | ¥30.38 | +1% |
| Hiwin Technologies Corporation 2049 | 381.00 TWD | 73.32 TWD | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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