Hiwin Technologies Corporation (2049) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TW · Market cap 114B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +13.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (91.65 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 154.22 TWD – 411.09 TWD · fair‑value band 54.99 TWD – 91.65 TWD · the 387.00 TWD price screens above the 73.32 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Hiwin Technologies Corporation (2049) currently trades at 387.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 73.32 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 81.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hiwin Technologies Corporation generated revenue of 24.3B TWD at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 2.6B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 54.99 TWD (bear case) to 91.65 TWD (bull case); at 387.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -81%, 2049 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (80.79 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (29.28 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hiwin Technologies Corporation manufactures and sells motion control and systematic technology products in Taiwan, China, Germany, the United States, Japan, and internationally. The company operates through Linear Guideways, Ballscrews, and Other segments.
Full company description
Hiwin Technologies Corporation manufactures and sells motion control and systematic technology products in Taiwan, China, Germany, the United States, Japan, and internationally. The company operates through Linear Guideways, Ballscrews, and Other segments. It offers ballscrews, Ball Spline, linear guideways, bearings, DATORKER strain wave gear, end effectors, torque motor rotary tables, and semiconductor subsystem, as well as single and multi-axis robots; and medical robots and equipment. The company also provides ball screws, linear guideways, industrial robots, aerospace automation equipment parts, computer numerical control (CNC) milling machines, and medical equipment. In addition, it engages in the research, development, design, manufacture, and sale of solar cells, electronic components, electric power supplies, electric transmission, and power distribution machinery products, as well as gear cutting tools and machinery; design, integrated application, research, development, manufacture, and sale of thread forming machinery; and manufacture and sale of aerospace parts. The company offers its products under the HIWIN brand name. Hiwin Technologies Corporation was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Taichung, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hiwin Technologies Corporation reported revenue of 24.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 27.3B TWD in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B TWD in FY2025, compounding −18.9%/yr from FY2021.
2049 screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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