Saudi Arabian Refineries Company (2030) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SA · Market cap 701M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
Share price −13.9% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (22.05 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (8.21 SAR to 22.05 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 44.00 SAR – 63.00 SAR · fair‑value band 8.21 SAR – 22.05 SAR · the 46.68 SAR price screens above the 15.42 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Saudi Arabian Refineries Company (2030) currently trades at 46.68 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.42 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 67.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Revenue grew 40.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 24.3M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.21 SAR (bear case) to 22.05 SAR (bull case); at 46.68 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -67%, 2030 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saudi Arabian Refineries Company, together with its subsidiary, engages in the extraction of crude oil in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Full company description
Saudi Arabian Refineries Company, together with its subsidiary, engages in the extraction of crude oil in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company is involved in the construction of refineries and petrochemical plants; buying and selling of land and real estate; mining of nitrogen and potassium containing minerals; manufacture of organic chemicals, liquid, and compressed air; the production of primary gases; and management and leasing of owned or rented non-residential real estate properties, as well as dealing in securities. It also engages in investment activities. Saudi Arabian Refineries Company was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Jeddah, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Arabian Refineries Company reported revenue of −41.9M SAR in FY2025 versus 8.1M SAR in FY2021. Reported net income was −60.2M SAR in FY2025.
Is 2030 fairly valued? → Check now
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Honeywell International Inc HON | 3,736 MXN | 111.48 MXN | -97% |
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$12.30 | HK$37.22 | +203% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$81.70 | HK$13.77 | -83% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 579,000 KRW | 370,641 KRW | -36% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,360 IDR | 12,700 IDR | +191% |
| Grupo Carso, S.A. GCARSOA1 | 130.55 MXN | 103.68 MXN | -21% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 233.00 THB | 169.42 THB | -27% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,734 | ₹764.22 | -72% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 5,967 CLP | 13.86 CLP | -100% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 53,200 KRW | 75,660 KRW | +42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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