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Grupo Carso, S.A. (GCARSOA1) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · MX · Market cap 295B MXN

Price130.55 MXN
Fair Value103.68 MXN
Upside-20.6%
Quality83/100
Evidence: Medium Range 70.82 MXN – 136.54 MXN

Analysis

Grupo Carso, S.A. (GCARSOA1) currently trades at 130.55 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 103.68 MXN — implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 83/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the commercial, industrial, infrastructure and construction, and energy businesses in Mexico, North America, Central America, South America, the Caribbean, Europe, and internationally. It operates retail stores and sells various products, including electronics, household items, furniture, clothing, pharmaceuticals, health and beauty products, books, videos, music, toys, sports items, cellphones, technology products, and other merchandise, as well as traditional Mexican food under the Sanborns Cafés, MixUp, iShop, Sears,…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.