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Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co stock SAR 108, price SAR 81.15, upside +32.8%, quality 38 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities SA · ISIN SA1591410GH0

AW Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co logo Broad data Oct 27, 2026

Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co

2081 · SR
SpeculativeFair value well above the price, but weak quality and a downtrend.Plus: 28% return on equity.

The stock costs 25% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 107.76 SAR · Undervalued (25%)
Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin (TTM)
Broad data
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +36.6 %/yr in SAR)
Moderate debt
2.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 61/100
Quality 38/100
Negative free cash flow

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

194.96 SAR 60.02 SAR Fair Value 107.76 SAR Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 60.02 SAR – 194.96 SAR · fair‑value band 48.92 SAR – 147.34 SAR · the 81.15 SAR price screens below the 107.76 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, constructs, operates, maintains, and manages water and wastewater projects in Saudi Arabia. The company operates through three segments: Water, Waste Water, and Integrated Water Solutions.

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It provides engineering, procurement, and construction; and operation and maintenance services to wastewater plants, water treatment plants, and other water related infrastructure, such as storm water networks.

It also engages in contracting for building, roads, industrial, mechanical, marine, and civil work; cleaning of buildings and cities; operation and maintenance of medical centers, hospitals, airports, water disposal, and environmental pollution control.

The company was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Company operates as a subsidiary of Alkhorayef Group Company.

Stock analysis

Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081) currently trades at 81.15 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 107.76 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 24.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 298.78 SAR per share, and 11 of the 17 models we run sit above the 81.15 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 17.48 SAR, and 6 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 48.92 SAR (bear) to 147.34 SAR (bull), the price of 81.15 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co reported revenue of 2.5B SAR in FY2025 versus 569M SAR in FY2021, a compound +44.4%/yr. Reported net income was 256M SAR in FY2025, compounding +25.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 2.8B SAR (≈ $757M) Small · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 1.28 · EPS (TTM) 7.23 SAR · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 11.9% · Return on equity 28.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 61 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at 33%, 2081 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 48.92 SAR Fair Value 107.76 SAR Bull 147.34 SAR
Price 81.15 SAR · Upside +32.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.53 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV 51.47 SAR 60.97 SAR 69.01 SAR 74
ROIC Compounder 71.32 SAR 112.16 SAR 136.63 SAR 72
Owner Earnings 48.92 SAR 120.06 SAR 256.87 SAR 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 48.92 SAR 120.06 SAR 256.87 SAR 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 49.69 SAR 346.51 SAR 486.28 SAR 63
Lynch FV 165.06 SAR 235.80 SAR 306.53 SAR 61
PEG = 1.0 165.06 SAR 235.80 SAR 306.53 SAR 57
EPV 51.47 SAR 60.97 SAR 69.01 SAR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 12.31 SAR 23.14 SAR 33.07 SAR 67
DDM Multi-Stage 12.31 SAR 20.66 SAR 24.60 SAR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 98.64 SAR 131.53 SAR 164.41 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 93.16 SAR 124.22 SAR 155.27 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 35.21 SAR 46.95 SAR 58.69 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 75.63 SAR 107.76 SAR 139.89 SAR 65
EV/EBITDA 57.33 SAR 83.36 SAR 109.39 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 57.21 SAR 90.62 SAR 124.04 SAR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 13.04 SAR 17.48 SAR 26.08 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 43.25 SAR 65.77 SAR 147.34 SAR 69
ROIC Compounder 71.32 SAR 112.16 SAR 136.63 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 209.15 SAR 298.78 SAR 388.42 SAR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 57
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 44
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 88
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 7
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.1% vs 12.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 12%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 64 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +32.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 28.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 11.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 15.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −20.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.81× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 11.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 3.10× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.28× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)77 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)59 · sector 66
DIVIDEND (yield)43 · sector 51

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2081

Frequently asked questions

Is Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 107.76 SAR versus a price of 81.15 SAR, about +33% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2081?
Our model-based fair value for Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is 107.76 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 81.15 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2081?
Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 107.76 SAR (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 48.92 SAR, optimistic scenario 147.34 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 107.76 SAR, about +33% upside versus a price of 81.15 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 48.92 SAR, optimistic scenario 147.34 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
Does Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co pay a dividend?
Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co currently shows a dividend yield of 2.16% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co it is 107.76 SAR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of 81.15 SAR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, 2081 trades below its calculated fair value: price 81.15 SAR, fair value 107.76 SAR, a gap of about +33% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2081?
No. The price is what the market pays today (81.15 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (107.76 SAR). For Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co the two are 26.61 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co worth?
The market values Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co at about 2.8B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is 81.15 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 107.76 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2081?
Our models span a range for Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co: cautious scenario 48.92 SAR, base 107.76 SAR, optimistic 147.34 SAR per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price 81.15 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2081?
Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Oct 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 107.76 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 8.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity 28.0%, debt of 0.81 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2081 from its 52-week high?
Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co trades at 81.15 SAR, about 46% below its 52-week high of 149.00 SAR and 7% above the low of 75.70 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 107.76 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, Essential Utilities, Inc, Grandblue Environment Co, American States Water Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price 81.15 SAR, calculated fair value 107.76 SAR (+33%), Quality Score 38/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2081 calculated?
We run Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 107.76 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 81.15 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 107.76 SAR, about +33% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (48.92 SAR to 147.34 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co

How large is the market capitalisation of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
The market capitalisation of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is 2.8B SAR (≈ $757M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is 1.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
Earnings per share at Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co are 7.23 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
The dividend yield of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is 2.2% (payout 24.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
The net margin of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is 11.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is 28.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is 12.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
The operating margin of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
Revenue at Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is growing −20.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +44.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081)?
Earnings per share at Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co are growing +3.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081) generate?
The free cash flow of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is −297M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co (2081) carry?
The net debt of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co is 727M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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