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Saudi Advanced Industries Co. (2120) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SA · Market cap 920M SAR

SA Saudi Advanced Industries Co. 2120 · SR
Price16.38 SAR
Fair Value14.53 SAR
Upside-11.3%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: Low Range 10.90 SAR – 18.17 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 11.52 SAR to 14.53 SAR (+26.1%) since Aug 4, 2026. Share price −0.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • Our model range runs from 10.90 SAR (bear) to 18.17 SAR (bull), base 14.53 SAR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

44.84 SAR 7.37 SAR Fair Value 14.53 SAR Apr 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7.37 SAR – 44.84 SAR · fair‑value band 10.90 SAR – 18.17 SAR · the 16.38 SAR price screens above the 14.53 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Saudi Advanced Industries Co. (2120) currently trades at 16.38 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.53 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Revenue grew 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.2%. Net debt stands at 123M SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.90 SAR (bear case) to 18.17 SAR (bull case); at 16.38 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -11%, 2120 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple 10.92 SAR 14.57 SAR 18.21 SAR 55
NCAV (Graham) 8.57 SAR 11.48 SAR 17.14 SAR 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple 10.92 SAR 14.57 SAR 18.21 SAR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.57 SAR 11.48 SAR 17.14 SAR 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (14.57 SAR) versus Asset-Based (11.48 SAR). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −123M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.1%
Return on equity -14.2%
Free cash flow 29.8M SAR FY2025
Operating margin 71.8%
EPS (TTM) -2.71 SAR
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +41.5%
Net debt 123M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Saudi Advanced Industries Company, through its subsidiary, operates in the investment and financing sector in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Full company description

Saudi Advanced Industries Company, through its subsidiary, operates in the investment and financing sector in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company offers the glass industries sector, which includes the manufacture and production of all types of glass; wholesale and retail trade of all types of glass and raw materials for the manufacture of glass and accessories; manufactures, cuts, colors and installs glass, and establishes and manages mining quarries; and this sector includes the production of different forms and types of glass, such as flat glass (used in windows, doors, and buildings), luxury glass (used in furniture and decoration), laminated glass (used in cars), heat-resistant glass, and insulating glass. The company also offers financial investments and services, providing real estate financing activities, financing small and medium enterprises, commercial financing, and consumer financing; industrialization and energy services, including well testing and early production facilities, coiled tubing, stimulation and intervention services, well completion, cementing, drilling solutions, wireline & slickline services, and hydraulic fracturing; food sector, include the import, purchase, and sale of eggs; the purchase and sale of chicks; poultry breeding, feeding, and veterinary care; owns, operates, and manages poultry farms; constructs, installs, and equips poultry houses; establishes and operates poultry feed mills; and manages slaughterhouses for chicken processing and portioning; and markets and distributes its products through retail outlets and authorized distributors; and investments. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Saudi Advanced Industries Co. reported revenue of −123M SAR in FY2025 versus 101M SAR in FY2021. Reported net income was −163M SAR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
342M SAR
Latest YoY
+90.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+50.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+50.6%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.8%
Revenue
FY21 101M SAR
FY22 116M SAR
FY23 180M SAR
FY24 342M SAR
FY25 −123M SAR
Net income
FY21 91.1M SAR
FY22 100M SAR
FY23 149M SAR
FY24 295M SAR
FY25 −163M SAR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +33.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +33.0 pp

of which total revenue +32.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp

EBIT margin −3.3 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

2120 screens 11% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudi Advanced Industries Co. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2120

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 384 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −11% · Below median
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 72% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 18 · sector 27
FUTURE 1 · sector 16
PAST 0 · sector 18
HEALTH 100 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Saudi Advanced Industries Co. (2120) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.53 SAR versus a price of 16.38 SAR, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2120?
Our model-based fair value for Saudi Advanced Industries Co. is 14.53 SAR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 16.38 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2120?
Saudi Advanced Industries Co. has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 2120?
The net profit margin of Saudi Advanced Industries Co. is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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