Koç Holding (KCHOL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 522B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Share price +7.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from 136.69 TRY (bear) to 227.82 TRY (bull), base 182.26 TRY. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 29/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15.43 TRY – 242.91 TRY · fair‑value band 136.69 TRY – 227.82 TRY · the 205.80 TRY price screens above the 182.26 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Koç Holding (KCHOL) currently trades at 205.80 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 182.26 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 11.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Koç Holding generated revenue of 2.9T TRY at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 12.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at 1.1T TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 136.69 TRY (bear case) to 227.82 TRY (bull case); at 205.80 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -11%, KCHOL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (201.44 TRY) versus Multiples (147.54 TRY). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Koç Holding A.S., through its subsidiaries, engages in the energy, automotive, consumer durables, finance, and other businesses in Turkey and internationally.
Full company description
Koç Holding A.S., through its subsidiaries, engages in the energy, automotive, consumer durables, finance, and other businesses in Turkey and internationally. The company's energy business produces and trades in petroleum products; operates petroleum refineries; cylinder gas, auto gas, and distributes fuel and liquefied petroleum gases, as well as water products; ships petroleum; generates electricity through hydroelectric, natural gas, coal, wind, thermal, solar power and other renewable plants; air, sea, road, and railway transportation; mooring and tug services; and technology and venture investments. Its automotive business provides light commercial vehicles, passenger cars, tractors, buses, and trucks, as well as automotive retailing, car rental and trading, and insurance services. The company's consumer durables business offers white goods, televisions, and air conditioners; and distributes information and communication technologies, as well as treasury services. Its finance business provides various banking and financial products and services that include private banking, leasing, factoring, investment, asset and portfolio management, corporate and commercial loans, and credit cards; and consumer finance, custody, special purpose, brokerage, and financial consulting services. The company's other business offers fast moving consumer goods, purchasing and supply chain management services, technology integrated solutions and services, home improvement retailing, electric vehicle charging station solutions, food, retail, tourism, ship construction, healthcare, trading, technology, marina operation, digital marketing, duty free store management, payment services, and information technologies, as well as operates hotels, restaurants, pubs, cafeterias, patisseries, banquet units, bakeries, stadiums, residences, and production facilities; and manufactures and exports electric motors. Koç Holding A.S. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Koç Holding reported revenue of 2.8T TRL in FY2025 versus 347B TRL in FY2021, a compound +67.9%/yr. Reported net income was 22.0B TRL in FY2025, compounding +9.7%/yr from FY2021.
KCHOL screens 11% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 375 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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