Bank of Gansu Co Ltd (2139) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$5.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.5700 to HK$0.4050 (−28.9%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price −0.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 72% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2160 – HK$1.50 · fair‑value band HK$0.3000 – HK$0.5000 · the HK$0.2360 price screens below the HK$0.4050 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Bank of Gansu Co Ltd (2139) currently trades at HK$0.2360, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4050, implying the stock looks roughly 71.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Bank of Gansu Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.8B at a net margin of 21.1%. Revenue declined 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at HK$36.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3000 (bear case) to HK$0.5000 (bull case); at HK$0.2360, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 72%, 2139 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.02) versus Multiples (HK$0.3300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bank of Gansu Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiary, provides banking and related financial services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in three segments: Corporate Banking, Retail Banking, and Financial Market Operations.
Full company description
Bank of Gansu Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiary, provides banking and related financial services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in three segments: Corporate Banking, Retail Banking, and Financial Market Operations. The company offers corporate loans and advances, deposits, agency, consulting and advisory, remittance and settlement, and guarantee services to corporations and government agencies; and personal loans and deposits, bank card business, personal wealth management, and remittance services to retail customers. It is also involved in the inter-bank money market transactions, repurchases transactions, and investments; and trades in debt securities, as well as issues debts. Bank of Gansu Co., Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Lanzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bank of Gansu Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$12.2B in FY2025 versus HK$2.8B in FY2021, a compound +44.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$573M in FY2025, compounding +0.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1088 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,350 IDR | 4,637 IDR | -27% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 168,100 KRW | 220,258 KRW | +31% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 3,110 IDR | 3,792 IDR | +22% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,130 IDR | 6,067 IDR | +47% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 8,400 ARS | +64% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 103,800 KRW | 146,032 KRW | +41% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 127,900 KRW | 210,506 KRW | +65% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,500 VND | 45,959 VND | -23% |
| Woori Financial Group 316140 | 33,000 KRW | 60,758 KRW | +84% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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