Hbm Holdings Ltd (2142) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$9.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from HK$1.82 to HK$11.32 (+522.0%) since Aug 15, 2026. Share price +23.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 22% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$14.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.9000 – HK$17.89 · fair‑value band HK$8.98 – HK$14.06 · the HK$14.49 price screens above the HK$11.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Hbm Holdings Ltd (2142) currently trades at HK$14.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$11.32, implying the stock looks roughly 21.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hbm Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$158M at a net margin of 57.8%. Revenue grew 293.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$320M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$8.98 (bear case) to HK$14.06 (bull case); at HK$14.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -63% fair-value upside, at -22%, 2142 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$5.09) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.2900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HBM Holdings Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of antibody therapeutics focusing on immunology and oncology in Mainland China, the United States, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
HBM Holdings Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of antibody therapeutics focusing on immunology and oncology in Mainland China, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It develops the Harbour Mice Platform, which generates human monoclonal antibodies in two heavy and two light chain H2L2 and heavy chain formats. The company is developing Batoclimab (HBM9161), a human monoclonal antibody that selectively binds and inhibits the neonatal fragment crystallizable receptor for treating myasthenia gravis; Porustobart HBM4003, a human anti-CTLA-4 antibody against cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated antigen-4 for treating melanoma, colorectal cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, and neuroendocrine neoplasm. It is developing HBM7020 for treating hepatocellular carcinoma and autoimmune diseases; HBM9378 for the treatment of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; and HBM1020, HBM7022, HBM7008, HBM9027, HBM7004, and HBM9033 for treating solid tumors. The company has a strategic collaboration with Evinova to apply AI and digital technologies to enhance the efficiency of biologics development. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Suzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hbm Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$158M in FY2025 versus HK$4.3M in FY2021, a compound +146.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$91.5M in FY2025.
2142 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 616 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $525.73 | $278.78 | -47% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,549,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -32% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 202,000 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -63% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$45.70 | HK$30.58 | -33% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$95.55 | HK$19.68 | -79% |
| Genmab A/S GMAB | kr 2,104 | kr 250.07 | -88% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$4.87 | HK$3.37 | -31% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥131.87 | ¥23.19 | -82% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 314,000 KRW | 39,476 KRW | -87% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹417.50 | ₹52.10 | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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