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The National Company (2150) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 1.2B SAR

TN The National Company 2150 · SR
Price36.20 SAR
Fair Value25.62 SAR
Upside-29.2%
Quality48/100
Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 74.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.47% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 47/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 21.13 SAR – 31.94 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated today

Share price +0.4% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (31.94 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

43.94 SAR 33.75 SAR Fair Value 25.62 SAR Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 33.75 SAR – 43.94 SAR · fair‑value band 21.13 SAR – 31.94 SAR · the 36.20 SAR price screens above the 25.62 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

The National Company (2150) currently trades at 36.20 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.62 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 29.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, The National Company generated revenue of 132M SAR at a net margin of 74.5%. Revenue grew 9.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. Net debt stands at 16.9M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 21.13 SAR (bear case) to 31.94 SAR (bull case); at 36.20 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -29%, 2150 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 132M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.9%
Net margin 74.5%
Return on equity 12.3%
Free cash flow −10.5M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 12.2
More key figures
Operating margin 5.1%
EPS (TTM) 2.98 SAR
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +80.7%
Net debt 16.9M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100
Profitability 42
Quality Growth 13
Cashflow 21
Fin. Strength 76
Investment 51
Low Volatility 92
Momentum 32
52W Momentum 24
Net Issuance 81

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The National Company for Glass Industries produces and sells returnable and non-returnable glass bottles and float glass. It offers its products for water sector, generic use, carbonated beverages, juices, cordials, and food sector, as well as operates sand and gravel mines, including crushers.

Full company description

The National Company for Glass Industries produces and sells returnable and non-returnable glass bottles and float glass. It offers its products for water sector, generic use, carbonated beverages, juices, cordials, and food sector, as well as operates sand and gravel mines, including crushers. The National Company for Glass Industries was founded in 1990 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The National Company reported revenue of 129M SAR in FY2025 versus 86.9M SAR in FY2021, a compound +10.3%/yr. Reported net income was 83.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +10.3%/yr
FY21 86.9M SAR
FY22 112M SAR
FY23 154M SAR
FY24 139M SAR
FY25 129M SAR
Net income +13.1%/yr
FY21 51.1M SAR
FY22 104M SAR
FY23 47.9M SAR
FY24 96.8M SAR
FY25 83.7M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The National Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2150

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 10
FUTURE 50 / 1
PAST 49 / 20
HEALTH 98 / 92
DIVIDEND 69 / 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

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Amcor plc AMC A$58.69 A$18.33 -69%
Packaging Corporation P1KG34 R$554.04 R$342.14 -38%
International Paper Company I1PC34 R$170.68 R$250.21 +47%
Ball Corporation B1LL34 R$141.68 R$104.18 -26%
Avery Dennison Corporation A1VY34 R$405.00 R$217.71 -46%
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 106.40 kr 10.71 -90%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥33.57 ¥20.88 -38%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 25.00 THB 12.30 THB -51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The National Company (2150) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25.62 SAR versus a price of 36.20 SAR, about −29% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2150?
Our model-based fair value for The National Company is 25.62 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 36.20 SAR.
What is the quality score of 2150?
The National Company has a Quality Score of 48/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of The National Company (2150)?
The National Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 132M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2150?
The net profit margin of The National Company is about 74.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 74.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The National Company pay a dividend?
The National Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 31, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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