Mabpharm Ltd (2181) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$1.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +6.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2500 – HK$1.31 · fair‑value band HK$0.2000 – HK$0.3300 · the HK$0.4200 price screens above the HK$0.2700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Mabpharm Ltd (2181) currently trades at HK$0.4200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2700, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mabpharm Ltd generated revenue of HK$646M at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 148.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 46.4%. Net debt stands at HK$218M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2000 (bear case) to HK$0.3300 (bull case); at HK$0.4200, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -36%, 2181 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.6300) versus Economic Profit (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mabpharm Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in research, development, production, and commercialization of drugs and biosimilar for cancers and autoimmune diseases in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
Mabpharm Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in research, development, production, and commercialization of drugs and biosimilar for cancers and autoimmune diseases in the People's Republic of China. It offers CMAB007, a recombinant humanized anti-immunoglobulin E monoclonal antibody for treatment of asthma patients; CMAB009, a recombinant anti-EGFR chimeric monoclonal antibody for the first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer; and CMAB008, a recombinant anti-TNF-alpha chimeric monoclonal antibody for the treatment of ulcerative colitis in adults, ankylosing spondylitis, rheumatoid arthritis, Crohn's disease in adults and pediatric patients aged above 6 years old, fistula Crohn's disease, and psoriasis. The company also develops CMAB807/CMAB807X that has completed Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of osteoporosis, tumor bone metastasis, and giant-cell tumor of bone; CMAB819 that has completed Phase I clinical trial for the treatment of metastatic non-small cell lung cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, and head and neck squamous cell carcinomas; and CMAB015, a biosimilar candidate for secukinumab to treat psoriasis and ankylosing spondylitis that is in Phase I clinical trial. In addition, its products under the pre-clinical stage include CMAB017 for the treatment of advanced solid tumors; CMAB016, a biosimilar product candidate of dupilumab for the treatment of atopic dermatitis, asthma, chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps, eosinophilic esophagitis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and prurigo nodularis; CMAB022 for the treatment of inflammatory diseases; and CMAB023, a biosimilar drug candidate for Tezepelumab. Further, the company is involved in research and development, manufacturing, technical consulting, technology transfer, and technical services of biological products, chemical biological reagents, diagnostic reagents, and drugs. Mabpharm Limited was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mabpharm Ltd reported revenue of HK$629M in FY2025 versus HK$82.9M in FY2021, a compound +66.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$55.7M in FY2025.
2181 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 605 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $525.73 | $278.78 | -47% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $797.99 | $594.40 | -26% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,549,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -32% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 202,000 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -63% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$45.70 | HK$30.58 | -33% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$95.55 | HK$19.68 | -79% |
| Genmab A/S GMAB | kr 2,037 | kr 250.07 | -88% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$4.87 | HK$3.37 | -31% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥131.87 | ¥23.19 | -82% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 314,000 KRW | 39,476 KRW | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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