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Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd (2212) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$195M

FB Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd 2212 · HK
PriceHK$0.1650
Fair ValueHK$0.0300
Upside-81.8%
Quality22/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -23.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price +10.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.3200 HK$0.0620 Fair Value HK$0.0300 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0620 – HK$0.3200 · fair‑value band HK$0.0200 – HK$0.0300 · the HK$0.1650 price screens above the HK$0.0300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd (2212) currently trades at HK$0.1650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd generated revenue of HK$73.2M at a net margin of -23.9%. Revenue grew 22.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.8%. Net debt stands at HK$5.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0200 (bear case) to HK$0.0300 (bull case); at HK$0.1650, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -82%, 2212 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$73.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.9%
Net margin -23.9%
Return on equity -34.8%
Free cash flow HK$317K FY2025
Operating margin -12.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0100
Net debt HK$5.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 16
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Future Bright Mining Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the excavation and sale of marble blocks in Mainland China. It operates in two segments, Marble Block and Commodity Trading.

Full company description

Future Bright Mining Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the excavation and sale of marble blocks in Mainland China. It operates in two segments, Marble Block and Commodity Trading. The company holds an interest in the Yiduoyan project, an open pit mine covering an area of approximately 0.3973 square kilometers located in the Hubei Province, the People's Republic of China. It also produces and sells marble related products, and trades in mineral commodities and coals, as well as sales abandoned stones. In addition, the company is involved in the mining and ore processing; sales of coal and coal products; new energy technology and mineral products; and provision of technology development and transfer, service, and consulting services. Future Bright Mining Holdings Limited was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Xiangyang, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd reported revenue of HK$73.2M in FY2025 versus HK$24.7M in FY2021, a compound +31.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$17.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$73.2M
Latest YoY
−24.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.3%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.3%
Revenue +31.2%/yr
FY21 HK$24.7M
FY22 HK$63.9M
FY23 HK$77.7M
FY24 HK$96.4M
FY25 HK$73.2M
Net income
FY21 −HK$2.5M
FY22 −HK$8.9M
FY23 −HK$19.6M
FY24 −HK$18.8M
FY25 −HK$17.5M

2212 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with UltraTech Cement Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2212

Peer Group

Building Materials · 258 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -24% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.70× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.46× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 78.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 100 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 65 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,891 ₹4,718 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥43.31 ¥13.22 -69%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,308 ₹1,245 -62%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 12.27 MXN -43%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥17.49 ¥26.14 +49%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹421.00 ₹216.73 -49%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹25,570 ₹8,215 -68%
TCC Group 1101B 43.15 TWD 9.76 TWD -77%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 57.60 TWD 13.98 TWD -76%
J.K. Cement Limited JKCEMENT ₹5,349 ₹2,184 -59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd (2212) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0300 versus a price of HK$0.1650, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2212?
Our model-based fair value for Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd is HK$0.0300 (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1650.
What is the quality score of 2212?
Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd (2212)?
Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$73.2M (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2212?
The net profit margin of Future Bright Mining Hldg Ltd is about -23.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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