Swang Chai Chuan Limited (2321) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$500M
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$0.6100 to HK$0.5600 (−8.2%) since Jul 2, 2026.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.4700 to HK$0.9600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range HK$0.3064 – HK$2.06 · fair‑value band HK$0.4700 – HK$0.9600 · the HK$0.5200 price screens below the HK$0.5600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Swang Chai Chuan Limited (2321) currently trades at HK$0.5200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5600, implying the stock looks roughly 7.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Swang Chai Chuan Limited generated revenue of HK$933M at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. Net debt stands at HK$55.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.4700 (bear case) to HK$0.9600 (bull case); at HK$0.5200, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 8%, 2321 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.6100) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Swang Chai Chuan Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the distribution and sale of food and beverage products in Malaysia.
Full company description
Swang Chai Chuan Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the distribution and sale of food and beverage products in Malaysia. The company distributes dairy products, frozen food, packaged food and commodities, sauces, oils and condiments, beverages, and specialty products; and personal and baby care products, pet care products, and cleaning and kitchen supplies, as well as honey, peanut butter, sugar, soy milk, salt, oats, organic beans, fries, nugget, sliced cheese, butter and pet food under the CED, Mega Foods, Mega Fresh, Sayangku, and Snowcat brand names. It also provides logistics, warehousing, sales, marketing support, and other services. The company serves its customers through hypermarket/supermarket chains, provision shops, convenience stores/kiosks, food and beverage dealers and merchandisers, hotels/restaurants/cafes, and school canteens. Swang Chai Chuan Limited was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Kuantan, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Swang Chai Chuan Limited reported revenue of HK$933M in FY2025 versus HK$669M in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$33.2M in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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