Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company (2350) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 7.5B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 4.10 SAR to 4.03 SAR (−1.7%) since Jul 31, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 22% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (3.01 SAR to 6.02 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.49 SAR – 23.84 SAR · fair‑value band 3.01 SAR – 6.02 SAR · the 5.15 SAR price screens above the 4.03 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company (2350) currently trades at 5.15 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.03 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 21.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company generated revenue of 7.9B SAR at a net margin of -27.1%. Revenue declined 27.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -22.1%. Net debt stands at 9.0B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3.01 SAR (bear case) to 6.02 SAR (bull case); at 5.15 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -22%, 2350 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company manufactures and sells chemicals, polymers, and specialty products in Saudi Arabia and internationally.
Full company description
Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company manufactures and sells chemicals, polymers, and specialty products in Saudi Arabia and internationally. The company offers ethylene for use as a feed stock for polyethylene and ethylene glycol; propylene for use as a feed stock for polypropylene and cumene; benzene for use as a feed stock for cumene plant; polypropylene for automotive, electric appliances, hot water pipe system fibers, and film wraps; and high- and low-density polyethylene for automotive gasoline tanks, pipes, bottles, and containers. It also provides ethylene oxide for use as a feed stock to ethylene glycols, polycarbonates, and ethanolamines; monoethylene glycol for use in polyester fibers, PET soft drinks package, antifreeze and coolants, heat transfer fluids, and chemical intermediates; diethylene glycol used in unsaturated polyester resins, polyurethanes and plasticizers, grinding aids, gas dehydration, printing ink, and paint pigments; and triethylene glycol for the dehydration of industrial gases and solvents, and plasticizers. The company offers cumene and phenol used as a feed stock to phenol and bisphenol-A plants; acetone used in solvents, and BPA and methyl methacrylate manufacturing; bisphenol A for use in polycarbonates and epoxy resins; and polycarbonate for use in optical media, construction and housing, automotive, aircraft, electronic components, lenses, toys, hobby items, and medical appliances; monoethanolamine, diethanolamine, and triethanolamine used in gas sweetening, detergent and specialty cleaning formulations, concrete mixtures, flexible urethane foam catalysts, pharmaceuticals, personal care products, and herbicides; ethoxylates for the detergent, paint, and leather industries; N-butanol for use in solvents, plasticizers, and coatings; iso-butanol used in direct solvents, chemical intermediates, and additives; and natural detergent alcohol for use in detergents. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Jubail, Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company reported revenue of 8.5B SAR in FY2025 versus 12.7B SAR in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −2.3B SAR in FY2025.
2350 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 331 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 467.04 MXN | -55% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,950 IDR | 1,608 IDR | -18% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 275,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +113% |
| SRF Limited 503806 | ₹2,609 | ₹749.17 | -71% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,709 | ₹791.05 | -83% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,357 | ₹2,146 | -74% |
| 506285 506285 | ₹4,048 | ₹1,589 | -61% |
| Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited 500165 | ₹209.25 | ₹80.51 | -62% |
| Deepak Nitrite Limited DEEPAKNTR | ₹1,718 | ₹679.17 | -60% |
| KCC Corporation 002380 | 454,000 KRW | 1,763,304 KRW | +288% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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