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Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited ₹75.83, price ₹175, upside -56.7%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · IN · ISIN INE531A01024

KN Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited

500165 · BSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ₹75.83 · Strongly overvalued (−56.7%)

✓Quality 63/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.6 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 7.3% net margin (FY2025)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Wide moat 65/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear ₹56.99 to bull ₹98.58 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 63/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹157.26 – ₹420.09 · fair‑value band ₹56.99 – ₹98.58 · the ₹175.30 price screens above the ₹75.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited manufactures and sells paints in India. It offers decorative, automotive, auto refinish, wood coating, general industrial, performance coating, powder coating, metal enamel, and ancillary paints. The company was formerly known as Goodlass Nerolac Paints Limited and changed its name to Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited in April 2006. The company was founded in 1920 and is based in Mumbai, India. Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is a subsidiary of Kansai Paint Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165) currently trades at ₹175.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹75.83, 56.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹79.70 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹175.30 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹22.69, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹56.99 (bear) to ₹98.58 (bull), the price of ₹175.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited reported revenue of ₹80.2B in FY2025 versus ₹63.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹5.9B in FY2025, compounding +13.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap ₹233B (≈ $2.4B) · P/E ratio 44.7 · P/S ratio 3.29 · EPS (TTM) ₹9.67 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0% · Free cash flow ₹6.8B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −57%, 500165 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹56.99 Fair Value ₹75.83 Bull ₹98.58

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹7.31 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF ₹56.85 ₹82.54 ₹118.77 80

Growth DCF ₹57.97 ₹81.16 ₹112.15 79

Owner Earnings ₹50.82 ₹73.73 ₹106.02 76

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF ₹56.85 ₹82.54 ₹118.77 80

Owner Earnings ₹50.82 ₹73.73 ₹106.02 76

5Y Revenue Exit ₹52.29 ₹79.25 ₹112.81 72

5Y EBITDA Exit ₹52.42 ₹79.49 ₹110.06 75

5Y P/E Exit ₹53.28 ₹81.06 ₹109.22 71

10Y Revenue Exit ₹52.05 ₹76.37 ₹107.30 67

10Y EBITDA Exit ₹53.58 ₹76.53 ₹105.30 69

10Y P/E Exit ₹54.11 ₹77.57 ₹104.70 64

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ₹30.14 ₹81.22 ₹106.35 65

Lynch FV ₹15.89 ₹22.69 ₹29.50 61

PEG = 1.0 ₹15.89 ₹22.69 ₹29.50 57

EPV ₹41.73 ₹48.09 ₹53.58 71

Multiples

P/E Multiple ₹56.51 ₹75.35 ₹94.19 63

P/S Multiple ₹56.51 ₹75.35 ₹94.19 58

P/B Multiple ₹56.51 ₹75.35 ₹94.19 55

EV/EBIT ₹60.35 ₹80.00 ₹99.64 66

EV/EBITDA ₹56.38 ₹74.70 ₹93.02 67

EV/Revenue ₹52.49 ₹74.38 ₹96.27 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ₹25.24 ₹33.82 ₹50.48 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF ₹57.97 ₹81.16 ₹112.15 79

Rev-Margin DCF ₹52.29 ₹79.70 ₹110.13 73

Economic Profit

Residual Income ₹42.62 ₹45.90 ₹52.84 76

ROIC Compounder ₹41.73 ₹48.09 ₹56.07 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ₹45.47 ₹64.95 ₹84.44 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 51

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 38

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 57

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 81

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 57

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 71

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 28

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 10

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 80/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+2.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+2.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year

Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+6.5%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.

+2.0%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+0.7%

Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.8% vs −2.6%, picking up

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 9%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price

The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+14.4%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.8% a year for the price.

500165 screens overvalued: fair value 57% below the price. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 340 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −58.6% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.7× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 0.4× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited · Fair Value
₹75.83 −57%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500165" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">₹75.83</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−57%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500165

Frequently asked questions

Is Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹75.83 versus a price of ₹175.30, about −57% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 500165?

Our model-based fair value for Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is ₹75.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹175.30.

What is the quality score of 500165?

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹75.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹56.99, optimistic scenario ₹98.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ₹75.83, about −57% upside versus a price of ₹175.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹56.99, optimistic scenario ₹98.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

Does Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited pay a dividend?

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +14.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 500165 use?

Our models discount Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited that is +14.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited grew +9.6 % a year. The price currently implies +14.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (+14.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.81 %: that much free cash flow Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited it is ₹75.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹175.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 500165 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹175.30, fair value ₹75.83, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 500165?

No. The price is what the market pays today (₹175.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹75.83). For Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited the two are ₹99.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited worth?

The market values Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited at about ₹233B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹175.30; our models calculate a fair value of ₹75.83 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500165?

Our models span a range for Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited: cautious scenario ₹56.99, base ₹75.83, optimistic ₹98.58 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹175.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 500165?

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹75.83 is built from several models across several years.

How solid is the balance sheet of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

Balance-sheet figures for Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 500165 from its 52-week high?

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited trades at ₹175.30, about 31% below its 52-week high of ₹252.44 and 11% above the low of ₹157.26 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹75.83 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited?

From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Hengli Petrochemical Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹175.30, calculated fair value ₹75.83 (−57%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 500165 calculated?

We run Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹75.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹175.30. Our model-based fair value is ₹75.83, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹98.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

The market capitalisation of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is ₹233B (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is 3.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

Earnings per share at Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited are ₹9.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

The dividend yield of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is 1.3% (payout 23.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

The net margin of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is 7.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

How much net debt does Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (500165) carry?

The net debt of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is ₹238M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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