Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Catcher Technology Co Ltd TWD 334, price TWD 207, upside +61.9%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 106.20 TWD – 247.93 TWD · fair‑value band 280.15 TWD – 404.96 TWD · the 206.50 TWD price screens below the 334.40 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Catcher Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of aluminum and magnesium extrusions, alloy housings, and molds in Taiwan, China, the United States, Singapore, and internationally.
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Catcher Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of aluminum and magnesium extrusions, alloy housings, and molds in Taiwan, China, the United States, Singapore, and internationally. Its products include chassis and interior mechanical components; upper case, lower case, keyboard cover, and monitor casings for notebook computers; casings for various server specifications and desktop computers; industrial computer casings and internal parts; and computer accessories, such as plugs and A/V connector casings. The company also produces customized thin and precision-oriented communication application products, including phones and tablet PC products, as well as communication accessories, such as earphones and camera heads. In addition, it manufactures and sells medical devices, which include precision machinery, value added injection molded parts and assemblies, and device assembly services. Further, the company provides ventilation blades, air-power tools, automobiles, TVs, and lightning equipment; manufactures, develops, and sells, various metal products; and engages in international trading, leasing, and investing activities. Catcher Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474) currently trades at 206.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 334.40 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 38.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 278.34 TWD per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the 206.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 111.51 TWD, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 280.15 TWD (bear) to 404.96 TWD (bull), the price of 206.50 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Catcher Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 18.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 41.1B TWD in FY2021, a compound −17.9%/yr. Reported net income was 7.1B TWD in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 131B TWD (≈ $4.1B) · P/E ratio 18.3 · P/S ratio 7.00 · EPS (TTM) 11.30 TWD · Dividend yield 4.8% · Net margin 38.3% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 62%, 2474 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 280.15 TWDFair Value 334.40 TWDBull 404.96 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.9510 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.8% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−0.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs −9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.50% → 17%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.5% a year for the price and +8.3% for the forecasts.
Compare Catcher Technology Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 264 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+62% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Catcher Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2474
Frequently asked questions
Is Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 334.40 TWD versus a price of 206.50 TWD, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2474?
Our model-based fair value for Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 334.40 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 206.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2474?
Catcher Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 334.40 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 280.15 TWD, optimistic scenario 404.96 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Catcher Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 334.40 TWD, about +62% upside versus a price of 206.50 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 280.15 TWD, optimistic scenario 404.96 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
Catcher Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.1B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Catcher Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Catcher Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.84% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Catcher Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -2.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -25.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2474 use?
Our models discount Catcher Technology Co Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Catcher Technology Co Ltd that is -2.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Catcher Technology Co Ltd grew -25.7 % a year. The price currently implies -2.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Catcher Technology Co Ltd (-2.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.78 %: that much free cash flow Catcher Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Catcher Technology Co Ltd it is 334.40 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 206.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Catcher Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 2474 trades below its calculated fair value: price 206.50 TWD, fair value 334.40 TWD, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2474?
No. The price is what the market pays today (206.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (334.40 TWD). For Catcher Technology Co Ltd the two are 127.90 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Catcher Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Catcher Technology Co Ltd at about 131B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 206.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 334.40 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2474?
Our models span a range for Catcher Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario 280.15 TWD, base 334.40 TWD, optimistic 404.96 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 206.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2474?
Catcher Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 334.40 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.8, P/B 0.9, P/S 7.2, EV/EBITDA 21.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 2474?
The PEG ratio of Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 4.82 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
Balance-sheet figures for Catcher Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2474 from its 52-week high?
Catcher Technology Co Ltd trades at 206.50 TWD, about 17% below its 52-week high of 247.93 TWD and 23% above the low of 168.01 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 334.40 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Catcher Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Catcher Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 206.50 TWD, calculated fair value 334.40 TWD (+62%), Quality Score 65/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2474 calculated?
We run Catcher Technology Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 334.40 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Catcher Technology Co Ltd currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 206.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 334.40 TWD, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Catcher Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (280.15 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474) come from?
Earnings per share at Catcher Technology Co Ltd grew −6.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −12.7 %, EBIT margin −9.4 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +17.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Catcher Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
The market capitalisation of Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 131B TWD (≈ $4.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 7.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
Earnings per share at Catcher Technology Co Ltd are 11.30 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
The dividend yield of Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 4.8% (payout 88.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
The net margin of Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 38.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
The operating margin of Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
Revenue at Catcher Technology Co Ltd is growing −13.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474)?
Earnings per share at Catcher Technology Co Ltd are growing −40.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Catcher Technology Co Ltd (2474) carry?
The net debt of Catcher Technology Co Ltd is 18.9B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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