RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd HK$8.00, price HK$16.34, upside -51.0%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range HK$11.02 – HK$90.80 · fair‑value band HK$5.28 – HK$10.00 · the HK$16.34 price screens above the HK$8.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Robosense Technology Co., Ltd, an investment holding company, provides LiDAR and perception solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers LiDAR products for advanced driver assistance systems, robotics, cleaning, industrial, logistics, public services, inspection, and other applications.
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Robosense Technology Co., Ltd, an investment holding company, provides LiDAR and perception solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers LiDAR products for advanced driver assistance systems, robotics, cleaning, industrial, logistics, public services, inspection, and other applications. It also provides AI active camera series and tool kit for robotic manipulations; and technology development services. Robosense Technology Co., Ltd was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498) currently trades at HK$16.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$8.00, implying the stock looks roughly 104.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$5.28 (bear) to HK$10.00 (bull), the price of HK$16.34 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
RoboSense Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2026 versus 331M CNY in FY2022, a compound +54.6%/yr. Reported net income was −142M CNY in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$11.0B (≈ $1.4B) · P/S ratio 5.32 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1635 · Net margin −7.5% · Return on equity −2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.5% · Operating margin −16.7% · Revenue (TTM) HK$2.1B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −51%, 2498 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$5.28Fair Value HK$8.00Bull HK$10.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+52.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+61.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−35.5% (2021) → −20.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare RoboSense Technology Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 219 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−51% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−17% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth40% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.68× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 39
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RoboSense Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2498
Frequently asked questions
Is RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$8.00 versus a price of HK$16.34, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2498?
Our model-based fair value for RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is HK$8.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$16.34.
What is the quality score of 2498?
RoboSense Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$8.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$5.28, optimistic scenario HK$10.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the RoboSense Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$8.00, about −51% upside versus a price of HK$16.34 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$5.28, optimistic scenario HK$10.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
RoboSense Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For RoboSense Technology Co Ltd it is HK$8.00 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of HK$16.34. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is RoboSense Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 2498 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$16.34, fair value HK$8.00, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2498?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$16.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$8.00). For RoboSense Technology Co Ltd the two are HK$8.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is RoboSense Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values RoboSense Technology Co Ltd at about HK$11.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is HK$16.34; our models calculate a fair value of HK$8.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2498?
Our models span a range for RoboSense Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$5.28, base HK$8.00, optimistic HK$10.00 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price HK$16.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
Balance-sheet figures for RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −2.9%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2498 from its 52-week high?
RoboSense Technology Co Ltd trades at HK$16.34, about 62% below its 52-week high of HK$43.00 and 2% above the low of HK$15.95 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$8.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to RoboSense Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Western Digital Corporation, Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is RoboSense Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price HK$16.34, calculated fair value HK$8.00 (−51%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2498 calculated?
We run RoboSense Technology Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$8.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. RoboSense Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was HK$16.34. Our model-based fair value is HK$8.00, about −51% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with RoboSense Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$10.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$5.28 to HK$10.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
The market capitalisation of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is HK$11.0B (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
The price-to-sales ratio of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is 5.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
Earnings per share at RoboSense Technology Co Ltd are HK$−0.1635. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
The net margin of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is −7.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
The return on equity (ROE) of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is −15.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
The operating margin of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is −16.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
Revenue at RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is growing +39.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +52.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498) generate?
The free cash flow of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is −HK$611M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498) hold?
RoboSense Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$1.8B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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