Robosense Technology Co (2498) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$11.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$6.35 to HK$6.33 (−0.3%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$7.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$4.18 to HK$7.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range HK$11.02 – HK$90.80 · fair‑value band HK$4.18 – HK$7.91 · the HK$23.70 price screens above the HK$6.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Robosense Technology Co (2498) currently trades at HK$23.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.33, implying the stock looks roughly 73.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Robosense Technology Co generated revenue of HK$2.1B at a net margin of -5.3%. Revenue grew 39.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$4.18 (bear case) to HK$7.91 (bull case); at HK$23.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -73%, 2498 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Robosense Technology Co., Ltd, an investment holding company, provides LiDAR and perception solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers LiDAR products for advanced driver assistance systems, robotics, cleaning, industrial, logistics, public services, inspection, and other applications.
Full company description
Robosense Technology Co., Ltd, an investment holding company, provides LiDAR and perception solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers LiDAR products for advanced driver assistance systems, robotics, cleaning, industrial, logistics, public services, inspection, and other applications. It also provides AI active camera series and tool kit for robotic manipulations; and technology development services. Robosense Technology Co., Ltd was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Robosense Technology Co reported revenue of HK$1.9B in FY2026 versus HK$331M in FY2022, a compound +54.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$142M in FY2026.
2498 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with Compal Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Computer Hardware · 215 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compal Electronics, Inc CEIR | $0.0310 | $0.0276 | -11% |
| Dell Technologies Inc DELL | $434.97 | $163.87 | -62% |
| Arista Networks, Inc ANET | $168.56 | $43.74 | -74% |
| Western Digital Corporation WDC | $513.84 | $74.05 | -86% |
| Wiwynn Corporation 6669 | 4,685 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -67% |
| Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 | ¥34.12 | ¥30.11 | -12% |
| Quanta Computer Inc 2382 | 373.50 TWD | 297.22 TWD | -20% |
| Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 | ¥587.60 | ¥60.86 | -90% |
| Lenovo Group 0992 | HK$23.16 | HK$3.07 | -87% |
| Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 | ¥106.13 | ¥28.88 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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