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Data-driven stock valuation

RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$11.0B (≈ $1.4B)

At a glance

RT RoboSense Technology Co Ltd 2498 · HK
PriceHK$17.91
Fair ValueHK$6.32
Upside−64.7%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 183% above our fair value of HK$6.32.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is HK$6.32 per share against a price of HK$17.91, so the fair value sits 65% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +61.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.3% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 1/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range HK$4.17 to HK$7.90

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$6.33 to HK$6.32 (−0.2%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −24.7% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$7.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$4.17 to HK$7.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

HK$90.80 HK$11.02 Fair Value HK$6.32 Jan 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

32‑month range HK$11.02 – HK$90.80 · fair‑value band HK$4.17 – HK$7.90 · the HK$17.91 price screens above the HK$6.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498) currently trades at HK$17.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.32, implying the stock looks roughly 183.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, RoboSense Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.1B at a net margin of −5.3%. Revenue grew 39.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Scenario range: HK$4.17 (bear) to HK$7.90 (bull), the price of HK$17.91 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −65%, 2498 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence HK$4.10 HK$5.50 HK$8.20 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence HK$4.10 HK$5.50 HK$8.20 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 5.32 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1635
Net margin −7.5% FY2026
Return on equity −2.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −15.5% avg 5y
Operating margin −16.7% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$2.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +39.9% 3y avg +52.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$611M FY2026
Net cash HK$1.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 9
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Robosense Technology Co., Ltd, an investment holding company, provides LiDAR and perception solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers LiDAR products for advanced driver assistance systems, robotics, cleaning, industrial, logistics, public services, inspection, and other applications.

Full company description

Robosense Technology Co., Ltd, an investment holding company, provides LiDAR and perception solutions in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers LiDAR products for advanced driver assistance systems, robotics, cleaning, industrial, logistics, public services, inspection, and other applications. It also provides AI active camera series and tool kit for robotic manipulations; and technology development services. Robosense Technology Co., Ltd was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

RoboSense Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2026 versus 331M CNY in FY2022, a compound +54.6%/yr. Reported net income was −142M CNY in FY2026.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$1.9B
Latest YoY
+14.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+52.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+61.7%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−35.5% (2021) → −20.6% (2026)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +54.6%/yr
FY22 331M CNY
FY23 530M CNY
FY24 1.1B CNY
FY25 1.6B CNY
FY26 1.9B CNY
Net income
FY22 −1.7B CNY
FY23 −2.1B CNY
FY24 −4.3B CNY
FY25 −482M CNY
FY26 −142M CNY

2498 screens 183% overvalued. Compare with Dell Technologies Inc →

Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
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RoboSense Technology Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$6.32 −183%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RoboSense Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2498

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 223 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −17% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 40% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 7
FUTURE100 · sector 59
PAST0 · sector 24
HEALTH98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $533.88 $395.00 −26%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $193.78 $57.72 −70%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $441.57 $47.49 −89%
Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 ¥246.21 ¥30.66 −88%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥35.18 ¥40.44 +15%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥376.88 ¥91.67 −76%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$30.12 HK$33.70 +12%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥83.19 ¥39.38 −53%
HP Inc HPQ $32.64 $48.62 +49%
Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 ¥73.79 ¥44.02 −40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.32 versus a price of HK$17.91, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2498?
Our model-based fair value for RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is HK$6.32 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$17.91.
What is the quality score of 2498?
RoboSense Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$6.32 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$4.17, optimistic scenario HK$7.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the RoboSense Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$6.32, about −65% upside versus a price of HK$17.91 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$4.17, optimistic scenario HK$7.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
RoboSense Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2498?
The net profit margin of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd is about −5.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For RoboSense Technology Co Ltd it is HK$6.32 per share (as of Aug 13, 2026), against a price of HK$17.91. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is RoboSense Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 13, 2026, 2498 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$17.91, fair value HK$6.32, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2498?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$17.91); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$6.32). For RoboSense Technology Co Ltd the two are HK$11.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is RoboSense Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values RoboSense Technology Co Ltd at about HK$11.0B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$17.91; our models calculate a fair value of HK$6.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2498?
Our models span a range for RoboSense Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$4.17, base HK$6.32, optimistic HK$7.90 per share (as of Aug 13, 2026, price HK$17.91). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (2498)?
Balance-sheet figures for RoboSense Technology Co Ltd (as of Aug 13, 2026): return on equity −2.9%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2498 from its 52-week high?
RoboSense Technology Co Ltd trades at HK$17.91, about 61% below its 52-week high of HK$46.50 (as of Aug 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$6.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to RoboSense Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Western Digital Corporation, Hygon Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is RoboSense Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 13, 2026: price HK$17.91, calculated fair value HK$6.32 (−65%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2498 calculated?
We run RoboSense Technology Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$6.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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