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Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd HK$36.80, price HK$16.95, upside +117.1%, quality 88 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Healthcare · HK

QT Some data Sep 27, 2026

Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd

2509 · HK

Strongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.

✓Fair value HK$36.80 · Strongly undervalued (+117.1%)
✓Quality 88/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +333.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 39.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/13)
✓Wide moat 89/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$35.34 HK$6.30 Fair Value HK$36.80 Mar 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range HK$6.30 – HK$35.34 · fair‑value band HK$24.71 – HK$60.14 · the HK$16.95 price screens below the HK$36.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Qyuns Therapeutics Co., Ltd., a clinical-stage biotech company, engages in the research and development of biologic therapies for autoimmune and allergic diseases in China.

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Qyuns Therapeutics Co., Ltd., a clinical-stage biotech company, engages in the research and development of biologic therapies for autoimmune and allergic diseases in China. Its lead product candidates include QX002N, an interleukin (IL)-17A inhibitor, which completed Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of ankylosing spondylitis; and QX005N, a monoclonal antibody (mAb) blocking IL-4Ra that is in Phase III clinical trial for treating prurigo nodularis. The company also develops QX001S, which is an IL-12/L-23p40 inhibitor for psoriasis under the SAILEXIN brand. In addition, the company develops QX008N, a humanized IgG1 mAb targeting thymic stromal lymphopoietin that is in Phase Ib clinical trial to treat moderate-to-severe asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; and QX004N, an IL-23p19 inhibitor, which is in Phase II clinical trial to treat psoriasis and Crohn's disease. The company also develops QX027N, an anti-TSLPxIL-13 bispecific antibody that targets AD and asthma indications; QX030N, a IL-23p19/TL1A clinical stage long-acting bispecific antibody for the treatment of inflammatory bowel diseases; QX031N, a clinical stage TSLP/IL-33 long-acting bispecific antibody for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma; and QX035N, a bispecific antibody for the treatment of respiratory and dermatology diseases. Further, it manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products; and provides technical consultation services. Qyuns Therapeutics Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.

Stock analysis

Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509) currently trades at HK$16.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$36.80, implying the stock looks roughly 53.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$73.35 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$16.95 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$14.64, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: HK$24.71 (bear) to HK$60.14 (bull), the price of HK$16.95 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 88/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd reported revenue of 786M CNY in FY2025 versus 21.3M CNY in FY2021, a compound +146.3%/yr. Reported net income was 306M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$3.8B (≈ $483M) · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 3.55 · Net margin 39.0% · Return on equity 68.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −23.0% · Operating margin 58.5% · Revenue (TTM) HK$807M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 117%, 2509 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$24.71 Fair Value HK$36.80 Bull HK$60.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV HK$14.98 HK$16.63 HK$17.99 74
FCF DCF HK$32.25 HK$45.73 HK$86.00 72
Growth DCF HK$30.40 HK$50.40 HK$81.83 71
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$32.25 HK$45.73 HK$86.00 72
Owner Earnings HK$26.29 HK$51.32 HK$97.78 67
5Y Revenue Exit HK$16.19 HK$21.74 HK$33.03 68
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$24.74 HK$39.02 HK$66.93 68
5Y P/E Exit HK$29.78 HK$60.47 HK$101.88 63
10Y Revenue Exit HK$21.49 HK$34.14 HK$39.36 64
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$27.39 HK$50.94 HK$90.05 61
10Y P/E Exit HK$30.75 HK$60.83 HK$109.26 57
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$10.89 HK$75.98 HK$106.62 59
Lynch FV HK$39.25 HK$56.08 HK$72.90 57
PEG = 1.0 HK$39.25 HK$56.08 HK$72.90 53
EPV HK$14.98 HK$16.63 HK$17.99 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$25.23 HK$33.65 HK$42.06 63
P/S Multiple HK$6.17 HK$8.22 HK$10.28 58
P/B Multiple HK$12.26 HK$16.34 HK$20.43 55
EV/EBIT HK$24.27 HK$31.37 HK$38.48 66
EV/EBITDA HK$20.89 HK$26.87 HK$32.85 67
EV/Revenue HK$8.12 HK$10.34 HK$12.56 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.82 HK$2.43 HK$3.63 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$30.40 HK$50.40 HK$81.83 71
Rev-Margin DCF HK$17.31 HK$24.50 HK$38.75 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$8.87 HK$14.64 HK$38.19 57
ROIC Compounder HK$15.75 HK$18.49 HK$21.28 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$51.34 HK$73.35 HK$95.35 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 88/100

Of which business quality 84 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 81
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+395.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+333.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−789.8% (2021) → 40.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.8% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 637 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 88 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +117.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 68.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets 16.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 39.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 58.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 427.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.58× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 5.46× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.70× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.7× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)71 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $527.67 $580.44 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $752.25 $1,275 +69%
argenx SE ARGX $959.49 $918.60 −4%
CSL Limited CSL A$176.95 A$194.65 +10%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $360.85 $280.94 −22%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $255.96 $217.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.21 $19.01 −67%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$53.00 HK$58.30 +10%

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HK$36.80 +54%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2509

Frequently asked questions

Is Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$36.80 versus a price of HK$16.95, about +117% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2509?
Our model-based fair value for Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is HK$36.80 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$16.95.
What is the quality score of 2509?
Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 88/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$36.80 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$24.71, optimistic scenario HK$60.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$36.80, about +117% upside versus a price of HK$16.95 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$24.71, optimistic scenario HK$60.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$807M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +0.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +146.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2509 use?
Our models discount Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd at 13.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.42, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd that is +0.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd grew +146.3 % a year. The price currently implies +0.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (+0.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.34 %: that much free cash flow Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd it is HK$36.80 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$16.95. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2509 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$16.95, fair value HK$36.80, a gap of about +117% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2509?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$16.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$36.80). For Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd the two are HK$19.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd worth?
The market values Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd at about HK$3.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$16.95; our models calculate a fair value of HK$36.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2509?
Our models span a range for Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$24.71, base HK$36.80, optimistic HK$60.14 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$16.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2509?
Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$36.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.5, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 9.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 68.3%, debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 88/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2509 from its 52-week high?
Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd trades at HK$16.95, about 52% below its 52-week high of HK$35.34 and 24% above the low of HK$13.69 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$36.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$16.95, calculated fair value HK$36.80 (+117%), Quality Score 88/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2509 calculated?
We run Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$36.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd currently trades 54 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$16.95. Our model-based fair value is HK$36.80, about +117% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (88/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$24.71). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (HK$24.71 to HK$60.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
The market capitalisation of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is HK$3.8B (≈ $483M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is 3.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
The net margin of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is 39.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is 68.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is −23.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
The operating margin of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is 58.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
Revenue at Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is growing +427% versus a year earlier (3y avg +333%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509) hold?
Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$382M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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