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Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$3.3B

QT Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd 2509 · HK
PriceHK$17.64
Fair ValueHK$25.52
Upside+44.7%
Quality88/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 39.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Wide moat 89/100
Evidence: High Range HK$19.57 – HK$31.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$25.50 to HK$25.52 (+0.1%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +10.9% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 45% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (88/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$19.57). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

HK$35.34 HK$6.30 Fair Value HK$25.52 Mar 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

29‑month range HK$6.30 – HK$35.34 · fair‑value band HK$19.57 – HK$31.48 · the HK$17.64 price screens below the HK$25.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509) currently trades at HK$17.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$25.52, implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 88/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$807M at a net margin of 39.0%. It earns a return on equity of 68.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$382M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 9.1 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$19.57 (bear case) to HK$31.48 (bull case); at HK$17.64, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 45%, 2509 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$28.75 HK$52.44 HK$90.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$15.00 HK$21.44 HK$34.75 74
ROIC Compounder HK$15.03 HK$18.13 HK$21.45 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$30.45 HK$45.52 HK$92.51 38
Owner Earnings HK$24.51 HK$51.25 HK$105.33 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$14.01 HK$19.01 HK$29.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$21.84 HK$34.84 HK$60.26 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$26.45 HK$54.39 HK$92.19 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$18.95 HK$30.71 HK$35.76 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$24.73 HK$47.19 HK$84.83 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$28.01 HK$56.88 HK$103.69 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$9.32 HK$65.03 HK$91.26 54
Lynch FV HK$33.60 HK$47.99 HK$62.39 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$33.60 HK$47.99 HK$62.39 46
EPV HK$14.23 HK$16.08 HK$17.67 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$21.60 HK$28.80 HK$36.00 63
P/S Multiple HK$5.28 HK$7.04 HK$8.80 58
P/B Multiple HK$10.49 HK$13.99 HK$17.48 55
EV/EBIT HK$20.77 HK$26.85 HK$32.94 53
EV/EBITDA HK$17.88 HK$22.99 HK$28.11 54
EV/Revenue HK$6.95 HK$8.85 HK$10.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.55 HK$2.08 HK$3.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$28.75 HK$52.44 HK$90.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$15.00 HK$21.44 HK$34.75 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$11.05 HK$16.84 HK$243.26 61
ROIC Compounder HK$15.03 HK$18.13 HK$21.45 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$43.94 HK$62.78 HK$81.61 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$62.78) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.08). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$807M
Revenue growth (YoY) +427%
Net margin 39.0%
Return on equity 68.3%
Free cash flow HK$392M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.1 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 58.5%
Net cash HK$382M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 88/100

Of which business quality 84 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 81
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Qyuns Therapeutics Co., Ltd., a clinical-stage biotech company, engages in the research and development of biologic therapies for autoimmune and allergic diseases in China.

Full company description

Qyuns Therapeutics Co., Ltd., a clinical-stage biotech company, engages in the research and development of biologic therapies for autoimmune and allergic diseases in China. Its lead product candidates include QX002N, an interleukin (IL)-17A inhibitor, which completed Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of ankylosing spondylitis; and QX005N, a monoclonal antibody (mAb) blocking IL-4Ra that is in Phase III clinical trial for treating prurigo nodularis. The company also develops QX001S, which is an IL-12/L-23p40 inhibitor for psoriasis under the SAILEXIN brand. In addition, the company develops QX008N, a humanized IgG1 mAb targeting thymic stromal lymphopoietin that is in Phase Ib clinical trial to treat moderate-to-severe asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; and QX004N, an IL-23p19 inhibitor, which is in Phase II clinical trial to treat psoriasis and Crohn's disease. The company also develops QX027N, an anti-TSLPxIL-13 bispecific antibody that targets AD and asthma indications; QX030N, a IL-23p19/TL1A clinical stage long-acting bispecific antibody for the treatment of inflammatory bowel diseases; QX031N, a clinical stage TSLP/IL-33 long-acting bispecific antibody for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma; and QX035N, a bispecific antibody for the treatment of respiratory and dermatology diseases. Further, it manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products; and provides technical consultation services. Qyuns Therapeutics Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Taizhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$786M in FY2025 versus HK$21.3M in FY2021, a compound +146.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$306M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$786M
Latest YoY
+395.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+333.3%
Revenue +146.3%/yr
FY21 HK$21.3M
FY22 HK$9.7M
FY23 HK$14.8M
FY24 HK$159M
FY25 HK$786M
Net income
FY21 −HK$411M
FY22 −HK$298M
FY23 −HK$508M
FY24 −HK$336M
FY25 HK$306M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2509

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 605 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 88 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +45% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Return on assets 16% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 427% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.58× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 4.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.11× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 93 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 71 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $797.99 $594.40 -26%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,037 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 314,000 KRW 39,476 KRW -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$25.52 versus a price of HK$17.64, about +45% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2509?
Our model-based fair value for Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is HK$25.52 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$17.64.
What is the quality score of 2509?
Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 88/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd (2509)?
Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$807M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2509?
The net profit margin of Qyuns Therapeutics Co Ltd is about 39.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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