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Crowell Development Corp (2528) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · TW · Market cap 9.8B TWD

CD Crowell Development Corp 2528 · TW
Price20.75 TWD
Fair Value52.51 TWD
Upside+153.1%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.77% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range 33.78 TWD – 157.44 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 52.25 TWD to 52.51 TWD (+0.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −7.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 153% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (33.78 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (33.78 TWD to 157.44 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

54.90 TWD 14.55 TWD Fair Value 52.51 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 14.55 TWD – 54.90 TWD · fair‑value band 33.78 TWD – 157.44 TWD · the 20.75 TWD price screens below the 52.51 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Crowell Development Corp (2528) currently trades at 20.75 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 52.51 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 153.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Crowell Development Corp generated revenue of 9.6B TWD at a net margin of 10.9%. It earns a return on equity of 14.9%. Net debt stands at 9.8B TWD. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 6.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 33.78 TWD (bear case) to 157.44 TWD (bull case); at 20.75 TWD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 153%, 2528 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 147.32 TWD 284.24 TWD 504.82 TWD 80
Residual Income 22.46 TWD 29.90 TWD 116.77 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 80.62 TWD 131.29 TWD 238.57 TWD 74
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 157.15 TWD 244.24 TWD 515.77 TWD 38
5Y Revenue Exit 73.52 TWD 114.02 TWD 197.41 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 83.38 TWD 133.94 TWD 232.44 TWD 41
10Y Revenue Exit 98.18 TWD 182.57 TWD 224.50 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 106.95 TWD 203.30 TWD 358.60 TWD 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple 44.82 TWD 59.76 TWD 74.70 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 27.15 TWD 36.19 TWD 45.24 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 68.25 TWD 92.42 TWD 116.58 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 51.95 TWD 70.67 TWD 89.40 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 35.74 TWD 52.88 TWD 70.01 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.05 TWD 12.13 TWD 18.10 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 147.32 TWD 284.24 TWD 504.82 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 80.62 TWD 131.29 TWD 238.57 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 22.46 TWD 29.90 TWD 116.77 TWD 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (182.57 TWD) versus Asset-Based (12.13 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.6B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -99.6%
Net margin 10.9%
Return on equity 14.9%
Free cash flow 4.4B TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 6.5
More key figures
Operating margin -399%
EPS (TTM) 3.48 TWD
Dividend yield 6.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -91.4%
Net debt 9.8B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 60
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Crowell Development Corp. engages in the construction, leasing, and sale of commercial and residential buildings in Taiwan.

Full company description

Crowell Development Corp. engages in the construction, leasing, and sale of commercial and residential buildings in Taiwan. It is also involved in the investment and development of parking lots; operation of playgrounds, amusement parks, sports stadiums, supermarkets, warehouses, restaurants, coffee shops, and hotels; manufacture and sale of building materials; sale and import and export of decoration and building materials; and department store sales business. The company was founded in 1985 and is based in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Crowell Development Corp reported revenue of 12.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound +40.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B TWD in FY2025, compounding +33.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
12.3B TWD
Latest YoY
+130.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+92.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+59.9%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.6%
Revenue +40.0%/yr
FY21 3.2B TWD
FY22 1.7B TWD
FY23 1.8B TWD
FY24 5.3B TWD
FY25 12.3B TWD
Net income +33.0%/yr
FY21 490M TWD
FY22 238M TWD
FY23 242M TWD
FY24 1.3B TWD
FY25 1.5B TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Crowell Development Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2528

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +153% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -100% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.39× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.24× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.02× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 60 · sector 16
HEALTH 81 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Crowell Development Corp (2528) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 52.51 TWD versus a price of 20.75 TWD, about +153% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2528?
Our model-based fair value for Crowell Development Corp is 52.51 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20.75 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2528?
Crowell Development Corp has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Crowell Development Corp (2528)?
Crowell Development Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.6B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2528?
The net profit margin of Crowell Development Corp is about 10.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Crowell Development Corp pay a dividend?
Crowell Development Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.80% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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