Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene HK$9.66, price HK$5.80, upside +66.7%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range HK$5.07 – HK$15.62 · fair‑value band HK$7.54 – HK$11.67 · the HK$5.80 price screens below the HK$9.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Genetic Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of biopharmaceutical products and medical devices in Mainland China and internationally.
Show more
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Genetic Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of biopharmaceutical products and medical devices in Mainland China and internationally. The company offers Guyoudao, a bone repair material; Jilifen, a human granulocyte colony stimulating factor injection; Jijufen, a human interleukin-11 injection; Jiouting, a palonosetron hydrochloride injection; Jifuwei, a fulvestrant injection; Jitansu, a fosaprepitant dimeglumine injection; and Jixinfen, PEG-G"CSF injection. It also provides Jilixin avatrombopag maleate tablets; Jipailin, a low molecular weight heparin sodium injection; and Yinuojia, an enoxaparin sodium injection. The company was formerly known as Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene Engineering Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hangzhou Jiuyuan Genetic Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. in April 2025. Hangzhou Jiuyuan Genetic Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566) currently trades at HK$5.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.66, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$11.94 per share, and 19 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$5.80 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$5.35, and 3 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$7.54 (bear) to HK$11.67 (bull), the price of HK$5.80 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound 0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 138M CNY in FY2025, compounding +3.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.6B (≈ $204M) · P/E ratio 10.2 · P/S ratio 1.08 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.3700 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 10.6% · Return on equity 8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 67%, 2566 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$7.54Fair Value HK$9.66Bull HK$11.67
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.2350 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 13%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 633 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+66.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets4.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$9.66 versus a price of HK$5.80, about +67% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2566?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is HK$9.66 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$5.80.
What is the quality score of 2566?
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$9.66 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$7.54, optimistic scenario HK$11.67. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$9.66, about +67% upside versus a price of HK$5.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$7.54, optimistic scenario HK$11.67. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.98% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene would have to grow free cash flow by -12.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew 0.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2566 use?
Our models discount Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene that is -12.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene grew 0.0 % a year. The price currently implies -12.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (-12.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.35 %: that much free cash flow Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene it is HK$9.66 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$5.80. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 2566 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$5.80, fair value HK$9.66, a gap of about +67% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2566?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$5.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$9.66). For Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene the two are HK$3.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene worth?
The market values Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene at about HK$1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$5.80; our models calculate a fair value of HK$9.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2566?
Our models span a range for Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene: cautious scenario HK$7.54, base HK$9.66, optimistic HK$11.67 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$5.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 2566?
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$9.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 8.7%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2566 from its 52-week high?
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene trades at HK$5.80, about 53% below its 52-week high of HK$12.23 and 14% above the low of HK$5.07 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$9.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$5.80, calculated fair value HK$9.66 (+67%), Quality Score 56/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2566 calculated?
We run Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$9.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$5.80. Our model-based fair value is HK$9.66, about +67% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene
How large is the market capitalisation of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
The market capitalisation of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is HK$1.6B (≈ $204M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is 1.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene are HK$0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
The dividend yield of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is 1.0% (payout 15.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
The net margin of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is 10.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
The operating margin of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
Revenue at Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is growing +0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
Earnings per share at Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene are growing +23.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566) carry?
The net debt of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is 72.2M CNY (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene in the live analysis
One click puts Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
