EN DE

Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$1.6B

HJ Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene 2566 · HK
PriceHK$5.41
Fair ValueHK$10.34
Upside+91.1%
Quality56/100
Watch Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.97% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range HK$7.95 – HK$12.63 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$9.90 to HK$10.34 (+4.4%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −6.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 91% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.95). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Share this valuation: 𝕏 WhatsApp

Price vs Fair Value (21 months)

HK$15.62 HK$5.07 Fair Value HK$10.34 Nov 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range HK$5.07 – HK$15.62 · fair‑value band HK$7.95 – HK$12.63 · the HK$5.41 price screens below the HK$10.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566) currently trades at HK$5.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$10.34, implying the stock looks roughly 91.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene generated revenue of HK$1.3B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at HK$72.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$7.95 (bear case) to HK$12.63 (bull case); at HK$5.41, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 91%, 2566 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$6.42 HK$7.87 HK$10.12 80
Residual Income HK$5.40 HK$5.69 HK$6.09 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$6.67 HK$9.32 HK$12.56 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$6.25 HK$7.79 HK$10.36 38
Owner Earnings HK$3.84 HK$4.64 HK$5.98 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$6.67 HK$9.18 HK$12.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$7.85 HK$11.23 HK$15.70 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$7.97 HK$11.44 HK$15.57 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$6.31 HK$8.04 HK$9.89 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$7.11 HK$9.19 HK$11.42 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$7.17 HK$9.31 HK$11.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$3.90 HK$4.76 HK$5.36 54
EPV HK$5.58 HK$6.18 HK$6.68 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$9.46 HK$12.61 HK$15.76 63
P/S Multiple HK$7.31 HK$9.74 HK$12.18 58
P/B Multiple HK$7.31 HK$9.74 HK$12.18 55
EV/EBIT HK$10.03 HK$12.98 HK$15.92 53
EV/EBITDA HK$10.41 HK$13.48 HK$16.55 54
EV/Revenue HK$7.51 HK$10.21 HK$12.91 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.41 HK$4.57 HK$6.83 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$6.42 HK$7.87 HK$10.12 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$6.67 HK$9.32 HK$12.56 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$5.40 HK$5.69 HK$6.09 76
ROIC Compounder HK$5.58 HK$6.18 HK$6.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$6.67 HK$9.52 HK$12.38 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$10.21) versus Asset-Based (HK$4.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Notify me when 2566 reaches fair value

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.1%
Net margin 10.6%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow HK$150M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.2 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 7.5%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.3700
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +23.2%
Net debt HK$72.2M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 4

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hangzhou Jiuyuan Genetic Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of biopharmaceutical products and medical devices in Mainland China and internationally.

Full company description

Hangzhou Jiuyuan Genetic Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of biopharmaceutical products and medical devices in Mainland China and internationally. The company offers Guyoudao, a bone repair material; Jilifen, a human granulocyte colony stimulating factor injection; Jijufen, a human interleukin-11 injection; Jiouting, a palonosetron hydrochloride injection; Jifuwei, a fulvestrant injection; Jitansu, a fosaprepitant dimeglumine injection; and Jixinfen, PEG-G"CSF injection. It also provides Jilixin avatrombopag maleate tablets; Jipailin, a low molecular weight heparin sodium injection; and Yinuojia, an enoxaparin sodium injection. The company was formerly known as Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene Engineering Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Hangzhou Jiuyuan Genetic Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. in April 2025. Hangzhou Jiuyuan Genetic Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$1.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$138M in FY2025, compounding +3.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.3B
Latest YoY
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Revenue −0.0%/yr
FY21 HK$1.3B
FY22 HK$1.1B
FY23 HK$1.3B
FY24 HK$1.4B
FY25 HK$1.3B
Net income +3.8%/yr
FY21 HK$119M
FY22 HK$59.9M
FY23 HK$120M
FY24 HK$139M
FY25 HK$138M

Watch 2566: get an alert when its fair value changes →

Share or link this analysis
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2566

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 605 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +91% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 1 · sector 0
PAST 35 · sector 0
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 19 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $797.99 $594.40 -26%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,037 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 314,000 KRW 39,476 KRW -87%

Compare Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Healthcare stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$10.34 versus a price of HK$5.41, about +91% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2566?
Our model-based fair value for Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is HK$10.34 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$5.41.
What is the quality score of 2566?
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene (2566)?
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2566?
The net profit margin of Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene is about 10.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene pay a dividend?
Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.97% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Hangzhou Jiuyuan Gene and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.