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Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co (2651) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$953M

WD Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co 2651 · HK
PriceHK$19.40
Fair ValueHK$14.60
Upside-24.7%
Quality65/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.52% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$10.95 – HK$18.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$13.26 to HK$14.60 (+10.1%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$18.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (13 months)

HK$19.70 HK$7.23 Fair Value HK$14.60 Jul 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

13‑month range HK$7.23 – HK$19.70 · fair‑value band HK$10.95 – HK$18.25 · the HK$19.40 price screens above the HK$14.60 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co (2651) currently trades at HK$19.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$14.60, implying the stock looks roughly 24.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co generated revenue of HK$372M at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue declined 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 26.1 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$10.95 (bear case) to HK$18.25 (bull case); at HK$19.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 172% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -25%, 2651 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$25.79 HK$40.87 HK$64.56 80
Residual Income HK$5.19 HK$5.51 HK$6.02 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$22.76 HK$35.39 HK$61.90 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$27.19 HK$37.34 HK$67.70 38
Owner Earnings HK$22.16 HK$40.47 HK$74.44 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$21.17 HK$31.57 HK$53.23 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$29.47 HK$48.33 HK$85.32 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$18.69 HK$31.43 HK$48.12 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$22.82 HK$40.58 HK$50.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$28.82 HK$56.88 HK$105.51 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$21.63 HK$35.70 HK$57.29 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$3.88 HK$27.06 HK$37.97 54
Lynch FV HK$13.98 HK$19.97 HK$25.96 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$13.98 HK$19.97 HK$25.96 46
EPV HK$13.53 HK$14.68 HK$15.63 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$9.41 HK$12.55 HK$15.69 63
P/S Multiple HK$7.27 HK$9.70 HK$12.12 58
P/B Multiple HK$7.27 HK$9.70 HK$12.12 55
EV/EBIT HK$22.10 HK$27.78 HK$33.45 53
EV/EBITDA HK$30.12 HK$38.47 HK$46.81 54
EV/Revenue HK$17.23 HK$22.44 HK$27.64 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.24 HK$4.34 HK$6.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$25.79 HK$40.87 HK$64.56 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$22.76 HK$35.39 HK$61.90 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$5.19 HK$5.51 HK$6.02 76
ROIC Compounder HK$14.89 HK$18.07 HK$21.67 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$18.56 HK$26.51 HK$34.46 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$37.34) versus Asset-Based (HK$4.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$372M
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.3%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 19.0%
Free cash flow HK$80.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 26.1 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 14.0%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.4100
Dividend yield 3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -46.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 14
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 3
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 93
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wuhan Dazhong Dental Medical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a private dental services provider in China.

Full company description

Wuhan Dazhong Dental Medical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a private dental services provider in China. The company offers oral preventive care, treatment of regular oral diseases, and restorative services; implanting artificial teeth root services; and prevention and treatment of dental and jawbone developmental abnormalities, including misaligned teeth, abnormal occlusion, and irregularities in the size, shape, and position of the jawbone. It also provides beauty repair, pediatric dentistry, periodontal treatment, and comprehensive oral treatment services. Wuhan Dazhong Dental Medical Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Wuhan Dazhong Dental Clinic Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Wuhan Dazhong Dental Medical Co., Ltd. in May 2017. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China. Wuhan Dazhong Dental Medical Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Hubei Zhongshan Medical Investment Management Co.,Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2013 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co reported revenue of HK$372M in FY2025 versus HK$22.2M in FY2013, a compound +26.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$28.2M in FY2025, compounding +31.6%/yr from FY2013.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$372M
Latest YoY
−8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.5%
Revenue +26.5%/yr
FY13 HK$22.2M
FY22 HK$409M
FY23 HK$442M
FY24 HK$407M
FY25 HK$372M
Net income +31.6%/yr
FY13 HK$1.0M
FY22 HK$37.1M
FY23 HK$46.5M
FY24 HK$38.3M
FY25 HK$28.2M

2651 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2651

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 266 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 76 · sector 29
HEALTH 100 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 70 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co (2651) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$14.60 versus a price of HK$19.40, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2651?
Our model-based fair value for Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co is HK$14.60 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$19.40.
What is the quality score of 2651?
Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co (2651)?
Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$372M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2651?
The net profit margin of Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co pay a dividend?
Wuhan Dazhong Dental Med Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.52% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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