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Universal Health Services, Inc (UHS) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $9.2B

UH Universal Health Services, Inc logo Universal Health Services, Inc UHS · US
Price$173.54
Fair Value$400.54
Upside+130.8%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.52% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range $198.14 – $694.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 9, 2026, revised from $405.30 to $400.54 (−1.2%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +10.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 131% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($198.14). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($198.14 to $694.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$243.41 $86.25 Fair Value $400.54 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $86.25 – $243.41 · fair‑value band $198.14 – $694.41 · the $173.54 price screens below the $400.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Universal Health Services, Inc (UHS) currently trades at $173.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $400.54, implying the stock looks roughly 130.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Universal Health Services, Inc generated revenue of $17.8B at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.4%. Net debt stands at $5.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $198.14 (bear case) to $694.41 (bull case); at $173.54, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 131%, UHS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $107.60 $211.08 $366.77 80
Residual Income $176.43 $234.17 $915.39 76
Rev-Margin DCF $202.70 $404.34 $644.52 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $106.48 $213.61 $377.50 38
Owner Earnings $157.73 $295.54 $506.36 31
5Y Revenue Exit $202.70 $408.96 $680.81 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $289.91 $577.33 $923.97 41
5Y P/E Exit $258.60 $516.89 $797.62 38
10Y Revenue Exit $155.07 $333.67 $589.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $220.42 $449.92 $776.24 37
10Y P/E Exit $200.66 $408.19 $679.14 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $189.98 $684.59 $922.84 54
Lynch FV $161.93 $231.33 $300.73 50
PEG = 1.0 $161.93 $231.33 $300.73 46
EPV $188.98 $230.28 $265.90 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $460.99 $614.66 $768.32 63
P/S Multiple $356.22 $474.96 $593.70 58
P/B Multiple $356.22 $474.96 $593.70 55
EV/EBIT $404.54 $563.58 $722.61 53
EV/EBITDA $442.27 $613.88 $785.49 54
EV/Revenue $267.96 $413.90 $559.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $68.27 $91.48 $136.54 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $107.60 $211.08 $366.77 80
Rev-Margin DCF $202.70 $404.34 $644.52 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $176.43 $234.17 $915.39 76
ROIC Compounder $204.17 $283.87 $386.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $317.20 $453.14 $589.08 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($474.96) versus Asset-Based ($91.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $17.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.6%
Net margin 8.6%
Return on equity 21.4%
Free cash flow $849M FY2025
P/E ratio 6.3
More key figures
Operating margin 11.2%
EPS (TTM) $23.94
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.7%
Net debt $5.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Universal Health Services, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates acute care hospitals, and outpatient and behavioral health care facilities in the United States. It operates through Acute Care Hospital Services and Behavioral Health Care Services segments.

Full company description

Universal Health Services, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates acute care hospitals, and outpatient and behavioral health care facilities in the United States. It operates through Acute Care Hospital Services and Behavioral Health Care Services segments. The company's hospitals offer general and specialty surgery, internal medicine, obstetrics, emergency room care, radiology, oncology, diagnostic and coronary care, pediatric, pharmacy, and/or behavioral health services. It also provides commercial health insurance services; capital resources; and various management services, including central purchasing, information services, finance and control systems, facilities planning, physician recruitment, administrative personnel management, marketing, and public relations services. Universal Health Services, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Universal Health Services, Inc reported revenue of $17.4B in FY2025 versus $12.6B in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5B in FY2025, compounding +10.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$17.4B
Latest YoY
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+9.2%
Revenue +8.3%/yr
FY21 $12.6B
FY22 $13.4B
FY23 $14.3B
FY24 $15.8B
FY25 $17.4B
Net income +10.7%/yr
FY21 $992M
FY22 $676M
FY23 $718M
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Universal Health Services, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UHS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 262 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +131% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.55× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.26× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.52× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.05× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 48 · sector 24
PAST 85 · sector 30
HEALTH 73 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 10 · sector 38

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $378.85 $554.93 +46%
Fresenius SE FRE €41.73 €32.15 -23%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 235.00 SAR 112.37 SAR -52%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.58 SGD 1.44 SGD -44%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $194.91 $338.05 +73%
Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 R$36.01 R$47.31 +31%
DaVita Inc DVA $231.61 $255.97 +11%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,955 ₹2,955 -67%
Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS $24.68 $45.60 +85%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.68 ¥7.67 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Universal Health Services, Inc (UHS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $400.54 versus a price of $173.54, about +131% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of UHS?
Our model-based fair value for Universal Health Services, Inc is $400.54 (as of Aug 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $173.54.
What is the quality score of UHS?
Universal Health Services, Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Universal Health Services, Inc (UHS)?
Universal Health Services, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UHS?
The net profit margin of Universal Health Services, Inc is about 8.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Universal Health Services, Inc pay a dividend?
Universal Health Services, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.55% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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