Guoxia Tech Co Ltd (2655) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$7.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$5.70 to HK$7.00 (+22.8%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +5.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$8.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (8 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
8‑month range HK$15.00 – HK$65.85 · fair‑value band HK$5.83 – HK$8.26 · the HK$17.99 price screens above the HK$7.00 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Guoxia Tech Co Ltd (2655) currently trades at HK$17.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.00, implying the stock looks roughly 61.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guoxia Tech Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$2.1B at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 46.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. Net debt stands at HK$249M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$5.83 (bear case) to HK$8.26 (bull case); at HK$17.99, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -61%, 2655 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$11.40) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guoxia Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of energy storage system solutions and products to the energy storage industry in Chinese mainland, Europe, Africa, and internationally.
Full company description
Guoxia Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of energy storage system solutions and products to the energy storage industry in Chinese mainland, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It also provides power plant solutions, such as zero-carbon park, independent energy storage, and source network load storage; and pan-microgrid solutions, including home energy management, optical storage and charging/diesel, and AIDC. In addition, it offers general mechanical equipment installation, and other services, as well as trades in energy storage products and systems. The company was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Wuxi, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guoxia Tech Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.1B in FY2025 versus HK$142M in FY2022, a compound +143.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$103M in FY2025, compounding +61.8%/yr from FY2022.
2655 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →
Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.02 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 148.25 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.69 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.54 | -11% |
| BEP BEP | $34.23 | $70.40 | +106% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
| China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 | ¥3.77 | ¥2.40 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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