Anhui Jinyan Kaolin New (2693) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$301M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$6.84 to HK$5.35 (−21.8%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +14.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$5.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (8 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
8‑month range HK$2.68 – HK$7.01 · fair‑value band HK$5.32 – HK$7.77 · the HK$3.34 price screens below the HK$5.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Anhui Jinyan Kaolin New (2693) currently trades at HK$3.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$5.35, implying the stock looks roughly 60.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Jinyan Kaolin New generated revenue of HK$274M at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue declined 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at HK$60.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$5.32 (bear case) to HK$7.77 (bull case); at HK$3.34, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at 60%, 2693 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$6.79) versus Growth DCF (HK$2.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Anhui Jinyan Kaolin New Materials Co., Ltd. engages in the mining, research and development, processing, production, and sales of calcined kaolin products in China. The company's products include kaolin starch and ore, all-natural calcined mullite, refractory materials, precision casting mullite sand, and precision casting mullite powder.
Full company description
Anhui Jinyan Kaolin New Materials Co., Ltd. engages in the mining, research and development, processing, production, and sales of calcined kaolin products in China. The company's products include kaolin starch and ore, all-natural calcined mullite, refractory materials, precision casting mullite sand, and precision casting mullite powder. It also sells raw coke and raw powder. It serves the automotive, aviation, healthcare, and general equipment industries. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Huaibei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Anhui Jinyan Kaolin New reported revenue of HK$272M in FY2025 versus HK$190M in FY2022, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$38.8M in FY2025, compounding +16.7%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 222.38 MXN | 172.99 MXN | -22% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 250.00 MXN | 139.41 MXN | -44% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹584.60 | ₹501.98 | -14% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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