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Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd TWD 9.42, price TWD 16.05, upside -41.3%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · TW · ISIN TW0002733003

VK Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Vigor Kobo Co Ltd

2733 · TWO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Quality 45/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.7 %/yr in TWD)
Fair value 9.42 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−41.3%)
Loss-making · -10.6% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

35.60 TWD 6.00 TWD Fair Value 9.42 TWD Apr 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 6.00 TWD – 35.60 TWD · fair‑value band 7.03 TWD – 14.06 TWD · the 16.05 TWD price screens above the 9.42 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Vigor Kobo Co.,Ltd. produces and sells various souvenir pastries, cakes, and handmade light snacks in Taiwan. It offers pineapple, taro paste and chestnut roast, mung bean, and sun cakes; almond nougat; and biscuits. The company also provides gift boxes. It offers its products through its stores, as well as online. Vigor Kobo Co.,Ltd.

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Vigor Kobo Co.,Ltd. produces and sells various souvenir pastries, cakes, and handmade light snacks in Taiwan. It offers pineapple, taro paste and chestnut roast, mung bean, and sun cakes; almond nougat; and biscuits. The company also provides gift boxes. It offers its products through its stores, as well as online. Vigor Kobo Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733) currently trades at 16.05 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.42 TWD, 41.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 7.03 TWD (bear) to 14.06 TWD (bull), the price of 16.05 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Vigor Kobo Co Ltd reported revenue of 336M TWD in FY2025 versus 139M TWD in FY2021, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was −49.2M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 385M TWD (≈ $12.1M) · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) −1.50 TWD · Net margin −14.7% · Return on equity −10.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.9% · Operating margin −16.8% · Revenue (TTM) 342M TWD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 168% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −41%, 2733 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 7.03 TWD Fair Value 9.42 TWD Bull 14.06 TWD
Price 16.05 TWD · Upside -41.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 7.07 TWD 9.48 TWD 14.15 TWD 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.07 TWD 9.48 TWD 14.15 TWD 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −11.5% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−85.6% (2020) → −14.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

2733 screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −41.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −10.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −16.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)21 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $57.82 $29.03 −50%
The Hershey Company HSY $161.41 $90.80 −44%
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 7,540 CHF 11,708 +55%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,062 CHF 654.80 −38%
Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 ¥14.75 ¥10.01 −32%
ORION Corp 271560 106,900 KRW 203,315 KRW +90%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TR $37.99 $21.64 −43%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥18.76 ¥8.53 −55%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹649.05 ₹160.97 −75%
ORION Holdings 001800 23,000 KRW 51,062 KRW +122%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vigor Kobo Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2733

Frequently asked questions

Is Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.42 TWD versus a price of 16.05 TWD, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2733?
Our model-based fair value for Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is 9.42 TWD (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 16.05 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2733?
Vigor Kobo Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.42 TWD (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7.03 TWD, optimistic scenario 14.06 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vigor Kobo Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.42 TWD, about −41% upside versus a price of 16.05 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 7.03 TWD, optimistic scenario 14.06 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
Vigor Kobo Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 342M TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vigor Kobo Co Ltd it is 9.42 TWD per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 16.05 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vigor Kobo Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 2733 trades above its calculated fair value: price 16.05 TWD, fair value 9.42 TWD, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2733?
No. The price is what the market pays today (16.05 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.42 TWD). For Vigor Kobo Co Ltd the two are 6.63 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vigor Kobo Co Ltd worth?
The market values Vigor Kobo Co Ltd at about 385M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 16.05 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 9.42 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2733?
Our models span a range for Vigor Kobo Co Ltd: cautious scenario 7.03 TWD, base 9.42 TWD, optimistic 14.06 TWD per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 16.05 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −10.9%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2733 from its 52-week high?
Vigor Kobo Co Ltd trades at 16.05 TWD, at its 52-week high of 16.05 TWD and 168% above the low of 6.00 TWD (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.42 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vigor Kobo Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vigor Kobo Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 16.05 TWD, calculated fair value 9.42 TWD (−41%), Quality Score 45/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2733 calculated?
We run Vigor Kobo Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9.42 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Vigor Kobo Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 16.05 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 9.42 TWD, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vigor Kobo Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14.06 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (7.03 TWD to 14.06 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
The market capitalisation of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is 385M TWD (≈ $12.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is 0.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
Earnings per share at Vigor Kobo Co Ltd are −1.50 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
The net margin of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is −14.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is −10.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is −9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
The operating margin of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is −16.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733)?
Revenue at Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is growing +4.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733) generate?
The free cash flow of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is −38.5M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733) carry?
The net debt of Vigor Kobo Co Ltd is 103M TWD (fiscal year 2021). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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