Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TW · Market cap 264M TWD
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 1.55 TWD to 1.46 TWD (−5.8%) since Jul 23, 2026. Share price −2.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.59 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.50 TWD – 35.60 TWD · fair‑value band 1.37 TWD – 1.59 TWD · the 10.95 TWD price screens above the 1.46 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Vigor Kobo Co Ltd (2733) currently trades at 10.95 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.46 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 86.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Vigor Kobo Co Ltd generated revenue of 336M TWD at a net margin of -14.7%. Revenue declined 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.5%. Net debt stands at 103M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.37 TWD (bear case) to 1.59 TWD (bull case); at 10.95 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -37% fair-value upside, at -87%, 2733 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (9.48 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (1.55 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vigor Kobo Co.,Ltd. produces and sells various souvenir pastries, cakes, and handmade light snacks in Taiwan. It offers pineapple, taro paste and chestnut roast, mung bean, and sun cakes; almond nougat; and biscuits. The company also provides gift boxes. It offers its products through its stores, as well as online. Vigor Kobo Co.,Ltd.
Full company description
Vigor Kobo Co.,Ltd. produces and sells various souvenir pastries, cakes, and handmade light snacks in Taiwan. It offers pineapple, taro paste and chestnut roast, mung bean, and sun cakes; almond nougat; and biscuits. The company also provides gift boxes. It offers its products through its stores, as well as online. Vigor Kobo Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Vigor Kobo Co Ltd reported revenue of 336M TWD in FY2025 versus 139M TWD in FY2021, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was −49.2M TWD in FY2025.
2733 screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG →
Peer Group
Confectioners · 79 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 94,500 | CHF 9,669 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $62.66 | $27.36 | -56% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $184.23 | $91.25 | -50% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,136 | CHF 711.91 | -37% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 124,600 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +63% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥20.48 | ¥9.09 | -56% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 54.85 | kr 59.12 | +8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹652.15 | ₹318.59 | -51% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,295 IDR | 1,140 IDR | -12% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 26,850 KRW | 42,237 KRW | +57% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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