Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd (2801) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TW · Market cap 281B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 12.26 TWD – 25.20 TWD · fair‑value band 14.02 TWD – 23.37 TWD · the 23.15 TWD price screens above the 18.69 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd (2801) currently trades at 23.15 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.69 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 19.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd generated revenue of 43.8B TWD at a net margin of 43.1%. Revenue grew 14.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 133B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 14.02 TWD (bear case) to 23.37 TWD (bull case); at 23.15 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -19%, 2801 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (19.64 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (7.94 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services in Taiwan and internationally.
Full company description
Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers deposit products, including checking, demand, time, omnibus, and savings deposits, as well as foreign services, including currency deposit, negotiable certificates of deposit; remittances; and credit and debit cards. It also provides insurance products and syndicated loans, as well as short-term, mid-term, and long-term loans. In addition, the company offers foreign exchange, funds, and wealth management services; trust and international banking services; internet, telephone, and mobile banking services; and securities underwriting, financing, and brokerage services. Further, it invests in government, financial, and corporate bonds. The company was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Chang Hwa Commercial Bank, Ltd reported revenue of 98.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 35.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound +28.8%/yr. Reported net income was 17.8B TWD in FY2025, compounding +19.2%/yr from FY2021.
2801 screens 19% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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