Simple Mart Retail Co (2945) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TW · Market cap 2.8B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −1.9% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 31.82 TWD (bear) to 42.93 TWD (bull), base 42.42 TWD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 30.56 TWD – 86.22 TWD · fair‑value band 31.82 TWD – 42.93 TWD · the 40.50 TWD price screens below the 42.42 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Simple Mart Retail Co (2945) currently trades at 40.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 42.42 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 4.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Simple Mart Retail Co generated revenue of 15.2B TWD at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. Net debt stands at 3.2B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 31.82 TWD (bear case) to 42.93 TWD (bull case); at 40.50 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 5%, 2945 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (56.90 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (17.53 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Simple Mart Retail Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates supermarkets in Taiwan. It operates in two segments, Segment A and Other Segments. The company engages in the retail sales of daily commodities, home shopping, health supplements, over the counter medicines, cosmetic, and organic products, as well as pet food and supplies.
Full company description
Simple Mart Retail Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates supermarkets in Taiwan. It operates in two segments, Segment A and Other Segments. The company engages in the retail sales of daily commodities, home shopping, health supplements, over the counter medicines, cosmetic, and organic products, as well as pet food and supplies. It is also involved in investment activities. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Taipei City, Taiwan. Simple Mart Retail Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Mercuries & Associates Holding, Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Simple Mart Retail Co reported revenue of 14.8B TWD in FY2025 versus 14.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 136M TWD in FY2025, compounding −8.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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