Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jinlong Machinery Electronic stock ¥0.57, price ¥3.52, upside -83.8%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.89 – ¥7.74 · fair‑value band ¥0.5500 – ¥0.7400 · the ¥3.52 price screens above the ¥0.5700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Jinlong Machinery & Electronic Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of motors, silicone rubber, plastic structural parts, and touch display products in China and internationally.
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It operates through Electronic Atomizer and Related Accessories, Structural Parts, Motor, Touch Display Module, and Others segments.
The company offers micro drive and vibration motors, silicone rubber, plastic structural parts, cover glass, touch screens, and display modules; brusher, BLDC, gear, LRA, and ERM motors; mechanical components for mobile electronics, smart wearables, smart homes, interphones, automotive field, home remote control, household appliances, common mobile devices, medical fields, food grade products, and engineering miscellaneous parts; and electronic atomizers and related accessories, including disposable electronic cigarettes, replaceable electronic cigarettes, and cartridges.
Its products are used in smart homes, smartphones, wearable devices, automobiles, PC, and other markets. The company also engages in the provision of technical, software, and information technology services.
The company was formerly known as Wenzhou Jinlong Thinking Mechanical & Electrical Co., Ltd. Jinlong Machinery and Electronic Co., Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.
Stock analysis
Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032) currently trades at ¥3.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5700, 83.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥1.14 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥3.52 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.0800, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.5500 (bear) to ¥0.7400 (bull), the price of ¥3.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Jinlong Machinery Electronic reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was 6.7M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.8B CNY (≈ $425M) Small · P/S ratio 2.11 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −4.5% · Return on equity −9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.9% · Operating margin −17.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −84%, 300032 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0800 to ¥3.55). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥0.5500Fair Value ¥0.5700Bull¥0.7400
Price ¥3.52 · Upside -83.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.3% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−32.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−32.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−32.6% vs −27.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → 2%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.3% a year for the price.
Compare Jinlong Machinery Electronic with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−83.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−4.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−17.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−32.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.52× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B4.23× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)2.10× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow44.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 32
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)74· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)5· sector 28
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.5700 versus a price of ¥3.52, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300032?
Our model-based fair value for Jinlong Machinery Electronic is ¥0.5700 (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.52.
What is the quality score of 300032?
Jinlong Machinery Electronic has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.5700 (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.5500, optimistic scenario ¥0.7400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jinlong Machinery Electronic stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.5700, about −84% upside versus a price of ¥3.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.5500, optimistic scenario ¥0.7400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
Jinlong Machinery Electronic reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
Does Jinlong Machinery Electronic pay a dividend?
Jinlong Machinery Electronic currently shows a dividend yield of 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jinlong Machinery Electronic would have to grow free cash flow by +28.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.9 % per year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300032 use?
Our models discount Jinlong Machinery Electronic at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.04, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jinlong Machinery Electronic that is +28.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jinlong Machinery Electronic grew -1.9 % a year. The price currently implies +28.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jinlong Machinery Electronic (+28.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.26 %: that much free cash flow Jinlong Machinery Electronic produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jinlong Machinery Electronic it is ¥0.5700 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of ¥3.52. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jinlong Machinery Electronic stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, 300032 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.52, fair value ¥0.5700, a gap of about −84% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300032?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.5700). For Jinlong Machinery Electronic the two are ¥2.95 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jinlong Machinery Electronic worth?
The market values Jinlong Machinery Electronic at about 2.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.52; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.5700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300032?
Our models span a range for Jinlong Machinery Electronic: cautious scenario ¥0.5500, base ¥0.5700, optimistic ¥0.7400 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price ¥3.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jinlong Machinery Electronic (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity −9.8%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300032 from its 52-week high?
Jinlong Machinery Electronic trades at ¥3.52, about 44% below its 52-week high of ¥6.30 and 10% above the low of ¥3.21 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.5700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jinlong Machinery Electronic?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jinlong Machinery Electronic stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price ¥3.52, calculated fair value ¥0.5700 (−84%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300032 calculated?
We run Jinlong Machinery Electronic through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.5700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Jinlong Machinery Electronic itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was ¥3.52. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.5700, about −84% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jinlong Machinery Electronic right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.7400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Jinlong Machinery Electronic
How large is the market capitalisation of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
The market capitalisation of Jinlong Machinery Electronic is 2.8B CNY (≈ $425M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jinlong Machinery Electronic is 2.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
Earnings per share at Jinlong Machinery Electronic are ¥−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
The dividend yield of Jinlong Machinery Electronic is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
The net margin of Jinlong Machinery Electronic is −4.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jinlong Machinery Electronic is −9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jinlong Machinery Electronic is −4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
The operating margin of Jinlong Machinery Electronic is −17.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
Revenue at Jinlong Machinery Electronic is growing −32.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −25.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032)?
Earnings per share at Jinlong Machinery Electronic are growing +96.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Jinlong Machinery Electronic (300032) carry?
The net debt of Jinlong Machinery Electronic is 16.8M CNY (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 27, 2026