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Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric ¥8.84, price ¥11.32, upside -21.9%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100000R83

SK Some data Sep 23, 2026

Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric

300092 · SHE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value ¥8.84 · Overvalued (−22%)
!Quality 40/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −5.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.88% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 39/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 4 out of 100
!Weak on past: 10 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥20.20 ¥7.62 Fair Value ¥8.84 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.62 – ¥20.20 · fair‑value band ¥7.25 – ¥11.03 · the ¥11.32 price screens above the ¥8.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Sichuan Kexin Mechanical and Electrical Equipment Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and manufacture of heavy-duty process equipment and system integration in China and internationally.

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Sichuan Kexin Mechanical and Electrical Equipment Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and manufacture of heavy-duty process equipment and system integration in China and internationally. It provides lifting equipment, material cutting and forming equipment, metal machining, welding and auxiliary equipment, NDT equipment and chemical laboratory, and heat and surface treatment equipment. The company also offers urea HP core equipment, heavy-duty pressure vessel, heat exchanger, furnace, column, nuclear equipment, vessel, and skidding equipment. In addition, it provides oil drilling equipment, oil production machinery and equipment, oilfield environmental protection equipment, and services. Further, the company offers technical consulting and engineering project contracting services. Sichuan Kexin Mechanical and Electrical Equipment Co.,Ltd was founded in 1997 and is based in Shifang, China.

Stock analysis

Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092) currently trades at ¥11.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.84, implying the stock looks roughly 28.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥5.76 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥11.32 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥1.89, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥7.25 (bear) to ¥11.03 (bull), the price of ¥11.32 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 948M CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.8%/yr. Reported net income was 64.0M CNY in FY2025, compounding −9.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 3.6B CNY (≈ $542M) · P/E ratio 75.5 · P/S ratio 4.22 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −22%, 300092 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥7.25 Fair Value ¥8.84 Bull ¥11.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0366 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ¥1.71 ¥1.89 ¥2.21 78
Residual Income ¥4.41 ¥4.41 ¥3.95 76
EPV ¥3.44 ¥3.74 ¥3.99 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥1.71 ¥1.89 ¥2.21 78
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.59 ¥9.77 ¥13.63 63
Lynch FV ¥2.80 ¥4.00 ¥5.20 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.80 ¥4.00 ¥5.20 57
EPV ¥3.44 ¥3.74 ¥3.99 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.09 ¥4.16 ¥6.31 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.09 ¥3.60 ¥4.40 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.68 ¥4.91 ¥6.13 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.98 ¥3.97 ¥4.97 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.98 ¥3.97 ¥4.97 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.72 ¥5.78 ¥6.84 66
EV/EBITDA ¥4.84 ¥5.94 ¥7.04 67
EV/Revenue ¥3.81 ¥4.78 ¥5.76 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.98 ¥3.99 ¥5.96 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.41 ¥4.41 ¥3.95 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.44 ¥3.74 ¥3.99 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.03 ¥5.76 ¥7.49 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 93
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8% vs 10%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

300092 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 832 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 75.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.22× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.30× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 34.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)4 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)10 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)18 · sector 24

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $442.49 $172.75 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 385.10 kr 199.07 −48%

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Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric · Fair Value
¥8.84 −28%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300092

Frequently asked questions

Is Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.84 versus a price of ¥11.32, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300092?
Our model-based fair value for Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is ¥8.84 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.32.
What is the quality score of 300092?
Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.84 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.25, optimistic scenario ¥11.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.84, about −22% upside versus a price of ¥11.32 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.25, optimistic scenario ¥11.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric pay a dividend?
Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric it is ¥8.84 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥11.32. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 300092 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥11.32, fair value ¥8.84, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300092?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥11.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.84). For Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric the two are ¥2.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric worth?
The market values Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric at about 3.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥11.32; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300092?
Our models span a range for Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric: cautious scenario ¥7.25, base ¥8.84, optimistic ¥11.03 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥11.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300092?
Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 75.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 34.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300092 from its 52-week high?
Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric trades at ¥11.32, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥19.34 and 11% above the low of ¥10.22 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥11.32, calculated fair value ¥8.84 (−22%), Quality Score 40/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300092 calculated?
We run Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥11.32. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.84, about −22% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric

How large is the market capitalisation of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
The market capitalisation of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is 3.6B CNY (≈ $542M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is 4.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric are ¥0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 75.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
The dividend yield of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is 0.9% (payout 66.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
The net margin of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is 5.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
The operating margin of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is 18.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
Revenue at Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is growing −14.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092)?
Earnings per share at Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric are growing −47.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092) generate?
The free cash flow of Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric is −23.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric (300092) hold?
Sichuan Kexin Mechanic Electric holds more cash than debt, 334M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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