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Gosuncn Technology Group (300098) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 8.7B CNY

GT Gosuncn Technology Group 300098 · SHE
Price¥4.67
Fair Value¥0.7000
Upside-85.0%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -0.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥0.5700 – ¥0.8300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from ¥0.9000 to ¥0.7000 (−22.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.41 ¥2.55 Fair Value ¥0.7000 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.55 – ¥7.41 · fair‑value band ¥0.5700 – ¥0.8300 · the ¥4.67 price screens above the ¥0.7000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Gosuncn Technology Group (300098) currently trades at ¥4.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.7000, implying the stock looks roughly 85.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Gosuncn Technology Group generated revenue of 2.1B CNY at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue grew 35.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 313M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.5700 (bear case) to ¥0.8300 (bull case); at ¥4.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -85%, 300098 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3700 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4100 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.0300 ¥0.0600 ¥0.0900 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0300 ¥0.0500 ¥0.0600 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥0.3700 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4100 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0300 ¥0.0600 ¥0.0900 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0300 ¥0.0500 ¥0.0600 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥0.6300 ¥0.7600 ¥0.8900 53
EV/EBITDA ¥0.7800 ¥0.9600 ¥1.14 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.5000 ¥0.6200 ¥0.7300 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7600 ¥1.01 ¥1.51 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3700 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4100 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.01) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0500). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +35.6%
Net margin -0.3%
Return on equity 0.2%
Free cash flow −34.0M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 7.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +27.2%
Net cash 313M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gosuncn Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in vehicle terminal, rail transit, electronic license plate, public safety, and power and environmental monitoring businesses in China and internationally.

Full company description

Gosuncn Technology Group Co., Ltd. engages in vehicle terminal, rail transit, electronic license plate, public safety, and power and environmental monitoring businesses in China and internationally. It offers vehicle terminal products, including T-BOX, in-vehicle OBD/tracker, and automotive-grade module; china railway and urban rail; electronic license plates, such as management of electric bicycle and electronic vehicle identification; police large model, smart politics and law, and smart video; and edge gateway and environmental monitoring. Gosuncn Technology Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gosuncn Technology Group reported revenue of ¥2.0B in FY2025 versus ¥2.7B in FY2021, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥32.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+40.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+18.6%
Revenue −7.1%/yr
FY21 ¥2.7B
FY22 ¥2.3B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥1.4B
FY25 ¥2.0B
Net income
FY21 ¥43.3M
FY22 −¥273M
FY23 −¥103M
FY24 −¥237M
FY25 −¥32.3M

300098 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gosuncn Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300098

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 290 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −85% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 61.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 30
PAST 1 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gosuncn Technology Group (300098) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.7000 versus a price of ¥4.67, about −85% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300098?
Our model-based fair value for Gosuncn Technology Group is ¥0.7000 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.67.
What is the quality score of 300098?
Gosuncn Technology Group has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Gosuncn Technology Group (300098)?
Gosuncn Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300098?
The net profit margin of Gosuncn Technology Group is about -0.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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