Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co (300139) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 12.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +31.4% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 82/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.03 – ¥84.38 · fair‑value band ¥8.29 – ¥14.02 · the ¥48.00 price screens above the ¥11.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co (300139) currently trades at ¥48.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.05, implying the stock looks roughly 77.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co generated revenue of 698M CNY at a net margin of 26.6%. Revenue grew 74.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 395M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.29 (bear case) to ¥14.02 (bull case); at ¥48.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 160% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -77%, 300139 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥16.05) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops integrated circuits in China and internationally. It offers integrated circuit chips, integrated circuit modules, electric energy meters, power line carrier chips, digital electronic detonator chips and modules, and other technical products.
Full company description
Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops integrated circuits in China and internationally. It offers integrated circuit chips, integrated circuit modules, electric energy meters, power line carrier chips, digital electronic detonator chips and modules, and other technical products. The company also provides power line carrier meter reading systems and power management systems. In addition, it engages in the construction, operation, and management of power grid transformation projects; and construction of distribution network and solar power projects, as well as supply, installation, testing, commissioning, and management of power projects. Further, the company is involved in the gold mining; house rentals; and provision of technical services. The company was formerly known as Beijing Fuxing Xiaocheng Electronic Technology Stock Co., Ltd and changed its name to Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co., Ltd in November 2015. Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co., Ltd was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co reported revenue of ¥630M in FY2025 versus ¥193M in FY2021, a compound +34.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥151M in FY2025, compounding +17.8%/yr from FY2021.
300139 screens 77% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 319 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC | C$52.57 | C$7.50 | -86% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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