Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc (300203) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 5.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.63 to ¥3.98 (−29.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥2.97 to ¥5.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.38 – ¥41.44 · fair‑value band ¥2.97 – ¥5.94 · the ¥12.65 price screens above the ¥3.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc (300203) currently trades at ¥12.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.98, implying the stock looks roughly 68.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc generated revenue of 2.9B CNY at a net margin of -10.0%. Revenue declined 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.7%. Net debt stands at 1.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.97 (bear case) to ¥5.94 (bull case); at ¥12.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -69%, 300203 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥7.83) versus Multiples (¥0.8200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc. provides analytical instrument technology services in China and internationally. The company offers products and services for project consulting, analytical instruments, information software, onsite customer training, and localized operation and maintenance services to oil and gas, thermal power, iron and steel, chemicals, …
Full company description
Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc. provides analytical instrument technology services in China and internationally. The company offers products and services for project consulting, analytical instruments, information software, onsite customer training, and localized operation and maintenance services to oil and gas, thermal power, iron and steel, chemicals, cement, water resource and management, geology and mining, food and pharmaceutical, scientific research, and environmental protection industries. It also provides environmental monitoring systems; scientific instruments; industrial process analyzers; and sensors. In addition, the company offers smart industry, laboratory, and environment services. Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc reported revenue of ¥3.0B in FY2025 versus ¥3.8B in FY2021, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥233M in FY2025.
300203 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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