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Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc (300203) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 5.9B CNY

FP Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc 300203 · SHE
Price¥12.65
Fair Value¥3.98
Upside-68.5%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -10.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.97 – ¥5.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥5.63 to ¥3.98 (−29.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.97 to ¥5.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥41.44 ¥9.38 Fair Value ¥3.98 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.38 – ¥41.44 · fair‑value band ¥2.97 – ¥5.94 · the ¥12.65 price screens above the ¥3.98 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc (300203) currently trades at ¥12.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.98, implying the stock looks roughly 68.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc generated revenue of 2.9B CNY at a net margin of -10.0%. Revenue declined 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.7%. Net debt stands at 1.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.97 (bear case) to ¥5.94 (bull case); at ¥12.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -69%, 300203 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.05 ¥8.80 ¥14.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.94 ¥7.83 ¥12.42 74
Gordon GGM ¥4.60 ¥9.17 ¥13.89 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.97 ¥9.30 ¥15.78 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.94 ¥7.82 ¥12.78 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.55 ¥3.28 ¥5.23 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.06 ¥7.67 ¥12.56 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.75 ¥4.56 ¥6.84 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.60 ¥9.17 ¥13.89 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.60 ¥7.76 ¥9.68 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥0.8200 ¥1.71 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.63 ¥6.36 ¥9.08 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.97 ¥3.98 ¥5.94 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.05 ¥8.80 ¥14.04 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.94 ¥7.83 ¥12.42 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥7.83) versus Multiples (¥0.8200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -25.0%
Net margin -10.0%
Return on equity -10.7%
Free cash flow 313M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -14.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.6300
EPS growth (YoY) +42.2%
Net debt 1.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc. provides analytical instrument technology services in China and internationally. The company offers products and services for project consulting, analytical instruments, information software, onsite customer training, and localized operation and maintenance services to oil and gas, thermal power, iron and steel, chemicals, …

Full company description

Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc. provides analytical instrument technology services in China and internationally. The company offers products and services for project consulting, analytical instruments, information software, onsite customer training, and localized operation and maintenance services to oil and gas, thermal power, iron and steel, chemicals, cement, water resource and management, geology and mining, food and pharmaceutical, scientific research, and environmental protection industries. It also provides environmental monitoring systems; scientific instruments; industrial process analyzers; and sensors. In addition, the company offers smart industry, laboratory, and environment services. Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc. was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc reported revenue of ¥3.0B in FY2025 versus ¥3.8B in FY2021, a compound −5.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥233M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.0B CNY
Latest YoY
−17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+18.7%
Revenue −5.5%/yr
FY21 ¥3.8B
FY22 ¥3.5B
FY23 ¥3.2B
FY24 ¥3.6B
FY25 ¥3.0B
Net income
FY21 −¥232M
FY22 −¥375M
FY23 −¥323M
FY24 ¥207M
FY25 −¥233M

300203 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300203

Peer Group

Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -15% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.90× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.78× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 34
PAST 0 · sector 25
HEALTH 55 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS $315.90 $84.16 -73%
Garmin Ltd GRMN $241.76 $146.67 -39%
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY $635.52 $367.58 -42%
Chroma ATE Inc 2360 1,905 TWD 286.15 TWD -85%
Hexagon AB HEXAB kr 80.10 kr 52.93 -34%
MKS Inc MKSI $324.69 $77.46 -76%
AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 ¥52.91 ¥34.47 -35%
Fortive Corporation FTV $61.78 $33.84 -45%
Trimble Inc TRMB $52.72 $24.47 -54%
Cognex Corporation CGNX $64.07 $13.75 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc (300203) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.98 versus a price of ¥12.65, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300203?
Our model-based fair value for Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc is ¥3.98 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.65.
What is the quality score of 300203?
Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc (300203)?
Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300203?
The net profit margin of Focused Photonics (Hangzhou), Inc is about -10.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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