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Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV stock ¥1.70, price ¥6.19, that is 72.5% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Communication Services CN · ISIN CNE100001BX3

BH Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV

300291 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 73% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 40/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +1.6 %/yr in CNY)
Revenue last quarter 13% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥1.70 · Strongly overvalued (−72.5%)
Loss-making · -147.1% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 6/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥10.39 ¥3.80 Fair Value ¥1.70 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.80 – ¥10.39 · fair‑value band ¥1.13 – ¥2.13 · the ¥6.19 price screens above the ¥1.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Beijing Baination Pictures Co.,Ltd. operates as a film and television company in China. The company engages in the production and distribution of television dramas, films, and movies/animation, as well as operates sports events. It also engages in marketing and cultural tourism business.

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The company was formerly known as Beijing HualuBaina Film&Tv Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291) currently trades at ¥6.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.70, 73% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥1.13 (bear) to ¥2.13 (bull), the price of ¥6.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2020: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2020.

Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV reported revenue of 307M CNY in FY2025 versus 803M CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.3%/yr. Reported net income was −1.1B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.8B CNY (≈ $875M) Small · P/S ratio 7.91 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.10 · Net margin −147% · Return on equity −46.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −44.7% · Revenue (TTM) 735M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 6 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −73%, 300291 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.13 Fair Value ¥1.70 Bull ¥2.13
Price ¥6.19 · Downside -72.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.13 ¥1.70 ¥2.13 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.13 ¥1.70 ¥2.13 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 73
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 33
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 37
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 31
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 78
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2020: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2020.
Revenue growth 1 year
−58.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.1% (2020) → −90.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300291 screens overvalued: fair value 73% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 221 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside −72.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −37.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −147.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −44.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −12.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.88× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 7.94× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Universal Music Group UMG €17.10 €19.56 +14% vs 300291
Fox Corporation FOX $59.50 $65.92 +11% vs 300291
Netflix, Inc NFLX $63.41 $69.75 +10% vs 300291
Formula One Group FWONK $106.33 $114.96 +8% vs 300291
The Walt Disney Company DIS $116.75 $101.07 −13% vs 300291
News Corporation NWS $28.96 $17.05 −41% vs 300291
Roku, Inc ROKU $160.52 $71.66 −55% vs 300291
TKO Group TKO $191.00 $69.66 −64% vs 300291
Warner Music Group WMG $31.30 $10.61 −66% vs 300291
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $175.25 $48.31 −72% vs 300291

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Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300291

Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.70 versus a price of ¥6.19, about 73% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300291?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is ¥1.70 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.19.
What is the quality score of 300291?
Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.70 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.13, optimistic scenario ¥2.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.70, about 73% lower versus a price of ¥6.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.13, optimistic scenario ¥2.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 735M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV it is ¥1.70 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥6.19. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 300291 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.19, fair value ¥1.70, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300291?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.70). For Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV the two are ¥4.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV worth?
The market values Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV at about 5.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300291?
Our models span a range for Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV: cautious scenario ¥1.13, base ¥1.70, optimistic ¥2.13 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥6.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −46.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300291 from its 52-week high?
Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV trades at ¥6.19, about 40% below its 52-week high of ¥10.39 and 40% above the low of ¥4.43 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥6.19, calculated fair value ¥1.70 (−73%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300291 calculated?
We run Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥1.70 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥6.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.70, about 73% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.13 to ¥2.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV

How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is 5.8B CNY (≈ $875M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is 7.91 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV are ¥−1.10. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
The net margin of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is −147% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is −46.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is −3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
The operating margin of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is −44.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
Revenue at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is growing −12.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV are growing +343% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291) generate?
The free cash flow of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is −118M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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