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Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV ¥1.70, price ¥5.93, upside -71.3%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Communication Services · CN · ISIN CNE100001BX3

BH Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV

300291 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.70 · Strongly overvalued (−71%)

!Quality 43/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.6 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -145.8% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

!Trails peers (3/10)

!Narrow moat 9/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear ¥1.13 to bull ¥2.13 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 43/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.80 – ¥10.39 · fair‑value band ¥1.13 – ¥2.13 · the ¥5.93 price screens above the ¥1.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Beijing Baination Pictures Co.,Ltd. operates as a film and television company in China. The company engages in the production and distribution of television dramas, films, and movies/animation, as well as operates sports events. It also engages in marketing and cultural tourism business. The company was formerly known as Beijing HualuBaina Film&Tv Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291) currently trades at ¥5.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.70, implying the stock looks roughly 248.8% overvalued today.

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ¥1.13 (bear) to ¥2.13 (bull), the price of ¥5.93 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV reported revenue of 307M CNY in FY2025 versus 803M CNY in FY2021, a compound −21.3%/yr. Reported net income was −1.1B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.6B CNY (≈ $834M) · P/S ratio 6.75 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.15 · Net margin −146% · Return on equity −46.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.9% · Operating margin 0.6% · Revenue (TTM) 743M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −71%, 300291 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.13 Fair Value ¥1.70 Bull ¥2.13

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

NCAV (Graham) ¥1.07 ¥1.44 ¥2.15 54

All 1 models by family

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥1.07 ¥1.44 ¥2.15 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 1

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 41

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 0

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 67

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 100

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 34

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 25

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 24

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 78

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 9/100

Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Revenue growth 1 year

−58.4%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−13.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+1.6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −16.6% a year

Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+7.9%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−3.1% (2020) → −90.2% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

300291 screens 249% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 260 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 43 · Below median

Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on assets −21% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −146% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 635% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.41× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 1.12× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 11

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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The Walt Disney Company DIS	$103.82	$100.87	−3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD	$30.83	$13.47	−56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV	$169.84	$64.71	−62%
Universal Music Group UMG	€14.55	€16.00	+10%
TKO Group TKO	$188.87	$95.50	−49%
Formula One Group FWONK	$94.62	$104.08	+10%
Fox Corporation FOXA	$64.25	$89.49	+39%
Roku, Inc ROKU	$154.25	$42.88	−72%
News Corporation NWS	A$45.40	A$29.85	−34%

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Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV · Fair Value
¥1.70 −249%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300291" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">¥1.70</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−249%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300291

Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.70 versus a price of ¥5.93, about −71% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 300291?

Our model-based fair value for Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is ¥1.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.93.

What is the quality score of 300291?

Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.13, optimistic scenario ¥2.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥1.70, about −71% upside versus a price of ¥5.93 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.13, optimistic scenario ¥2.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 743M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV it is ¥1.70 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥5.93. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, 300291 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.93, fair value ¥1.70, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 300291?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.70). For Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV the two are ¥4.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV worth?

The market values Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV at about 5.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.93; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.70 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300291?

Our models span a range for Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV: cautious scenario ¥1.13, base ¥1.70, optimistic ¥2.13 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥5.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −46.6%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 300291 from its 52-week high?

Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV trades at ¥5.93, about 43% below its 52-week high of ¥10.39 and 34% above the low of ¥4.43 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.70 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV?

From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥5.93, calculated fair value ¥1.70 (−71%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 300291 calculated?

We run Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥5.93. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.70, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.13 to ¥2.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV

How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

The market capitalisation of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is 5.6B CNY (≈ $834M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is 6.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

Earnings per share at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV are ¥−1.15. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

The net margin of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is −146% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is −46.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is −3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

The operating margin of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

Revenue at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is growing +635% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291)?

Earnings per share at Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV are growing +343% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV (300291) generate?

The free cash flow of Beijing Hualu Baina Film TV is −118M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

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