Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.30 – ¥11.62 · fair‑value band ¥0.4100 – ¥0.8600 · the ¥5.59 price screens above the ¥0.6000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Fuchun Technology Co., Ltd. provides network development, planning, designing, construction management, and business support services for communication operators, governments, and large enterprises in China.
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Fuchun Technology Co., Ltd. provides network development, planning, designing, construction management, and business support services for communication operators, governments, and large enterprises in China. The company undertakes the planning, feasibility study, assessment, investigation, design, consultation, and project supervision for information and communication engineering. In addition, it engages in the game, network literature, anime, and big data businesses. The company was formerly known as Fuchun Communications Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Fuchun Technology Co., Ltd. in April 2017. Fuchun Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Fuzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299) currently trades at ¥5.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6000, implying the stock looks roughly 832.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥0.6400 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the ¥5.59 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.1700, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.4100 (bear) to ¥0.8600 (bull), the price of ¥5.59 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Fuchun Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 378M CNY in FY2025 versus 566M CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was −76.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.9B CNY (≈ $575M) · P/S ratio 9.54 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1100 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin −20.3% · Return on equity −22.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin 18.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at −89%, 300299 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥0.4100Fair Value ¥0.6000Bull ¥0.8600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+31.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.5% (2020) → −0.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+52.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Fuchun Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.23× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.48× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.42× · Pricier than median
P/FCF17.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA32.3× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 15
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)88· sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)5· sector 79
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fuchun Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300299
Frequently asked questions
Is Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.6000 versus a price of ¥5.59, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300299?
Our model-based fair value for Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is ¥0.6000 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.59.
What is the quality score of 300299?
Fuchun Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.6000 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4100, optimistic scenario ¥0.8600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fuchun Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.6000, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥5.59 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4100, optimistic scenario ¥0.8600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
Fuchun Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 378M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Fuchun Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Fuchun Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fuchun Technology Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +52.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.2 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300299 use?
Our models discount Fuchun Technology Co Ltd at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fuchun Technology Co Ltd that is +52.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fuchun Technology Co Ltd grew -2.2 % a year. The price currently implies +52.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (+52.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.79 %: that much free cash flow Fuchun Technology Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fuchun Technology Co Ltd it is ¥0.6000 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ¥5.59. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fuchun Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 300299 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.59, fair value ¥0.6000, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300299?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.6000). For Fuchun Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥4.99 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fuchun Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Fuchun Technology Co Ltd at about 3.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.59; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.6000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300299?
Our models span a range for Fuchun Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.4100, base ¥0.6000, optimistic ¥0.8600 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ¥5.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −22.3%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300299 from its 52-week high?
Fuchun Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥5.59, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥9.54 and 11% above the low of ¥5.05 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.6000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fuchun Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fuchun Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ¥5.59, calculated fair value ¥0.6000 (−89%), Quality Score 63/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300299 calculated?
We run Fuchun Technology Co Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.6000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Fuchun Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Fuchun Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥0.4100 to ¥0.8600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299) come from?
Earnings per share at Fuchun Technology Co Ltd grew −4.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin −9.8 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
The market capitalisation of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is 3.9B CNY (≈ $575M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is 9.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
Earnings per share at Fuchun Technology Co Ltd are ¥−0.1100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
The dividend yield of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is 0.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
The net margin of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is −20.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is −22.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
The operating margin of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is 18.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
Revenue at Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is growing +23.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299)?
Earnings per share at Fuchun Technology Co Ltd are growing +21.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Fuchun Technology Co Ltd (300299) carry?
The net debt of Fuchun Technology Co Ltd is 155M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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