Goldcard Smart Group (300349) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 4.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from ¥9.56 (bear) to ¥15.93 (bull), base ¥12.75. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.02 – ¥20.64 · fair‑value band ¥9.56 – ¥15.93 · the ¥10.53 price screens below the ¥12.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Goldcard Smart Group (300349) currently trades at ¥10.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.75, implying the stock looks roughly 21.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Goldcard Smart Group generated revenue of 3.1B CNY at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue declined 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.56 (bear case) to ¥15.93 (bull case); at ¥10.53, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 21%, 300349 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥16.39) versus Asset-Based (¥7.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Goldcard Smart Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells digital energy products and solutions in China and internationally. The company offers smart gas solutions, such as residential gas meters and smart gas flow meter solutions; smart water solutions; plant stations; and process measurement products.
Full company description
Goldcard Smart Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells digital energy products and solutions in China and internationally. The company offers smart gas solutions, such as residential gas meters and smart gas flow meter solutions; smart water solutions; plant stations; and process measurement products. The company was formerly known as Goldcard High-Tech Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Goldcard Smart Group Co., Ltd. in March 2017. Goldcard Smart Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Goldcard Smart Group reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥266M in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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