Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc ¥0.87, price ¥5.80, upside -85.0%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.33 – ¥10.10 · fair‑value band ¥0.8100 – ¥0.9600 · the ¥5.80 price screens above the ¥0.8700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Liaoning Kelong Fine Chemical,Inc. manufactures and sells building materials additives, chemical products, and surfactants worldwide.
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Liaoning Kelong Fine Chemical,Inc. manufactures and sells building materials additives, chemical products, and surfactants worldwide. It polycarboxylic acid water reducing agent polyether monomer, polycarboxylic acid water reducing agent, polycarboxylic acid water reducing agent powder, ethylene glycol phenyl ether series products, hydroxy acrylate, ethylene carbonate, ultraviolet light, graphene zinc powder coating, and surfactant. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Liaoyang, China.
Stock analysis
Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405) currently trades at ¥5.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8700, implying the stock looks roughly 566.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥0.9100 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥5.80 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.3500, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.8100 (bear) to ¥0.9600 (bull), the price of ¥5.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc reported revenue of 544M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −15.9%/yr. Reported net income was −61.2M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.6B CNY (≈ $246M) · P/S ratio 2.97 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1600 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin −11.2% · Return on equity −10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.4% · Operating margin 7.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −85%, 300405 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥0.8100Fair Value ¥0.8700Bull ¥0.9600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.8% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.3% (2020) → −5.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 352 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside−85% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.43× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA23.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)38· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300405
Frequently asked questions
Is Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8700 versus a price of ¥5.80, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300405?
Our model-based fair value for Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is ¥0.8700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.80.
What is the quality score of 300405?
Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.8700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.8100, optimistic scenario ¥0.9600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.8700, about −85% upside versus a price of ¥5.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.8100, optimistic scenario ¥0.9600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 572M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc pay a dividend?
Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc it is ¥0.8700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥5.80. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300405 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.80, fair value ¥0.8700, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300405?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.8700). For Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc the two are ¥4.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc worth?
The market values Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc at about 1.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.80; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.8700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300405?
Our models span a range for Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc: cautious scenario ¥0.8100, base ¥0.8700, optimistic ¥0.9600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥5.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
Balance-sheet figures for Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −10.6%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300405 from its 52-week high?
Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc trades at ¥5.80, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥8.50 and 29% above the low of ¥4.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.8700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥5.80, calculated fair value ¥0.8700 (−85%), Quality Score 44/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300405 calculated?
We run Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.8700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥5.80. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.8700, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.9600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc
How large is the market capitalisation of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
The market capitalisation of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is 1.6B CNY (≈ $246M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is 2.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
Earnings per share at Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc are ¥−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
The dividend yield of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
The net margin of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is −11.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is −10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is −5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
The operating margin of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
Revenue at Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is growing +31.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405)?
Earnings per share at Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc are growing +1.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405) generate?
The free cash flow of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is −69.0M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc (300405) carry?
The net debt of Liaoning Kelong Fine ChemicalInc is 397M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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