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Hubei Century Network Technology Inc (300494) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CN · Market cap 4.5B CNY

HC Hubei Century Network Technology Inc 300494 · SHE
Price¥8.92
Fair Value¥3.56
Upside-60.0%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.51 – ¥3.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from ¥3.82 to ¥3.56 (−6.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.51 to ¥3.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥26.97 ¥6.10 Fair Value ¥3.56 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.10 – ¥26.97 · fair‑value band ¥1.51 – ¥3.56 · the ¥8.92 price screens above the ¥3.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Hubei Century Network Technology Inc (300494) currently trades at ¥8.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.56, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hubei Century Network Technology Inc generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 0.1%. Revenue declined 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.51 (bear case) to ¥3.56 (bull case); at ¥8.92, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -60%, 300494 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.50 ¥5.07 ¥7.83 80
Residual Income ¥2.00 ¥1.90 ¥1.43 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.26 ¥4.47 ¥6.21 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.56 ¥4.79 ¥7.96 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.37 ¥2.90 ¥3.92 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.26 ¥4.46 ¥6.35 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.41 ¥4.80 ¥6.83 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.90 ¥3.69 ¥4.65 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.30 ¥4.58 ¥6.47 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.45 ¥4.84 ¥7.24 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.10 ¥3.94 ¥5.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3100 ¥2.00 ¥2.79 54
Lynch FV ¥0.5800 ¥0.8300 ¥1.07 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5800 ¥0.8300 ¥1.07 46
EPV ¥2.97 ¥3.15 ¥3.30 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3100 ¥0.6100 ¥0.9300 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3100 ¥0.5300 ¥0.6500 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.7600 ¥1.01 ¥1.26 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.5900 ¥0.7800 ¥0.9800 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.5900 ¥0.7800 ¥0.9800 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.49 ¥4.02 ¥4.56 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.41 ¥3.92 ¥4.43 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.10 ¥3.62 ¥4.14 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.45 ¥1.95 ¥2.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.50 ¥5.07 ¥7.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.26 ¥4.47 ¥6.21 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.00 ¥1.90 ¥1.43 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.03 ¥3.49 ¥3.89 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.8400 ¥1.19 ¥1.55 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥4.47) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.5300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.2%
Net margin 0.1%
Return on equity 0.1%
Free cash flow 58.2M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -1.4%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -82.4%
Net cash 1.0B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hubei Century Network Technology Inc. operates an online entertainment platform in China and internationally. The company provides Internet games under the Life and Death Fighting 5, Three Kingdoms 11, The Age of Voyage 4, Dynasty Warriors 6, and Dynasty Warriors 8 names.

Full company description

Hubei Century Network Technology Inc. operates an online entertainment platform in China and internationally. The company provides Internet games under the Life and Death Fighting 5, Three Kingdoms 11, The Age of Voyage 4, Dynasty Warriors 6, and Dynasty Warriors 8 names. It also offers IP introduction and authorization, IP game supervision, and other services; and deploy cloud acceleration services. In addition, the company's platform products comprise cloud service scenarios, online entertainment scenarios, and offline venue scenarios. Hubei Century Network Technology Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Wuhan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hubei Century Network Technology Inc reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥22.5M in FY2025, compounding −34.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+19.1%
Revenue −0.5%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.7B
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥1.1B
FY25 ¥1.2B
Net income −34.9%/yr
FY21 ¥125M
FY22 ¥222M
FY23 ¥169M
FY24 −¥261M
FY25 ¥22.5M

300494 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Century Network Technology Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300494

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -1% · Below median
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.10× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.47× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 0 · sector 10
HEALTH 95 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $354.46 $145.14 -59%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $669.21 $534.91 -20%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$460.20 HK$467.50 +2%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $485.38 $209.56 -57%
Baidu, Inc BIDU $113.30 $451.51 +299%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $195.34 $39.59 -80%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$44.70 HK$101.03 +126%
NAVER Corporation 035420 191,300 KRW 231,585 KRW +21%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$34.74 HK$65.78 +89%
REA Group REA A$149.14 A$88.53 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hubei Century Network Technology Inc (300494) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.56 versus a price of ¥8.92, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300494?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Century Network Technology Inc is ¥3.56 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.92.
What is the quality score of 300494?
Hubei Century Network Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hubei Century Network Technology Inc (300494)?
Hubei Century Network Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300494?
The net profit margin of Hubei Century Network Technology Inc is about 0.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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