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Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd ¥7.12, price ¥18.66, upside -61.8%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · CN · ISIN CNE100002DG2

ZF Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd

300560 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥7.12 · Strongly overvalued (−62%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥25.85 ¥9.44 Fair Value ¥7.12 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.44 – ¥25.85 · fair‑value band ¥5.96 – ¥8.61 · the ¥18.66 price screens above the ¥7.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhong Fu Tong Group Co., Ltd. provides communication network construction, maintenance, and optimization services in China.

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Zhong Fu Tong Group Co., Ltd. provides communication network construction, maintenance, and optimization services in China. It provides communication network construction, maintenance, and optimization services for telecom operators, communication equipment vendors, radio, and television networks; and technical services, such as communication network engineering construction, construction integration, operation management, fault repair and daily maintenance, and technical services. The company also offers informatization software services. In addition, the company provides smart population; smart public security; smart terminals; and security brain overall solution. In addition, it offers DomeMind is a multi-scenario intelligent service platform with AI technology. Further, the company provides smart building management platform, metaverse online exhibition hall platform, metaverse conference platform, enterprise metaspace exhibition hall; and Red Matrix AI Xiaohongshu matrix customer acquisition operation platform. Additionally, it engages in digital marketing business. Zhong Fu Tong Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is based in Fuzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560) currently trades at ¥18.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.12, implying the stock looks roughly 162.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥9.81 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥18.66 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.56, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥5.96 (bear) to ¥8.61 (bull), the price of ¥18.66 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 977M CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −76.2M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.3B CNY (≈ $640M) · P/S ratio 3.65 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3300 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −6.7% · Return on equity −8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 7.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −62%, 300560 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥5.96 Fair Value ¥7.12 Bull ¥8.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ¥5.80 ¥6.25 ¥6.62 74
ROIC Compounder ¥6.15 ¥7.09 ¥8.17 72
EV/EBITDA ¥8.95 ¥11.09 ¥13.24 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥5.80 ¥6.25 ¥6.62 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥7.99 ¥9.81 ¥11.64 66
EV/EBITDA ¥8.95 ¥11.09 ¥13.24 67
EV/Revenue ¥6.67 ¥8.45 ¥10.22 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.91 ¥2.56 ¥3.83 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥6.15 ¥7.09 ¥8.17 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.8% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.0% (2020) → 9.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

300560 screens 162% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 252 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.73× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.55× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)31 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)13 · sector 77

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 80941 HK$67.45 HK$114.85 +70%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $162.41 $270.48 +67%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $46.45 $69.92 +51%
AT&T Inc T $25.10 $50.40 +101%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,833 ₹1,883 +3%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.10 ¥8.36 +37%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $22.29 $32.77 +47%
Saudi Telecom Company 7010 43.66 SAR 41.80 SAR −4%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 4.32 SGD 2.15 SGD −50%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 651.00 CHF 505.18 −22%

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Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥7.12 −162%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300560

Frequently asked questions

Is Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.12 versus a price of ¥18.66, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300560?
Our model-based fair value for Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is ¥7.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥18.66.
What is the quality score of 300560?
Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.96, optimistic scenario ¥8.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.12, about −62% upside versus a price of ¥18.66 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.96, optimistic scenario ¥8.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd it is ¥7.12 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥18.66. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300560 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥18.66, fair value ¥7.12, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300560?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥18.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.12). For Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd the two are ¥11.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd at about 4.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥18.66; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300560?
Our models span a range for Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.96, base ¥7.12, optimistic ¥8.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥18.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300560 from its 52-week high?
Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd trades at ¥18.66, about 19% below its 52-week high of ¥22.91 and 54% above the low of ¥12.12 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥18.66, calculated fair value ¥7.12 (−62%), Quality Score 45/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300560 calculated?
We run Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥18.66. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.12, about −62% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
The market capitalisation of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is 4.3B CNY (≈ $640M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is 3.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
Earnings per share at Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd are ¥−0.3300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
The dividend yield of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
The net margin of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is −6.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is −8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
The operating margin of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
Revenue at Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is growing +6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560)?
Earnings per share at Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd are growing +5.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is −38.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd (300560) carry?
The net debt of Zhong Fu Tong Co Ltd is 40.2M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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