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BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd ¥6.37, price ¥24.19, upside -73.7%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100002DZ2

BC Some data Sep 23, 2026

BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd

300579 · SHE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ¥6.37 · Strongly overvalued (−74%)

!Quality 57/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.5 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -9.7% net margin (TTM)

✓generates free cash flow

!Trails peers (3/11)

!Narrow moat 12/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear ¥4.77 to bull ¥8.66 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 57/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥16.67 – ¥41.19 · fair‑value band ¥4.77 – ¥8.66 · the ¥24.19 price screens above the ¥6.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Beijing Certificate Authority Co.,Ltd. provides network trust and data security solutions in China.

Beijing Certificate Authority Co.,Ltd. provides network trust and data security solutions in China. The company offers cryptographic infrastructure, including digital certificate authentication system, key management system, V2X security certificate authentication, and password service management platform and machine, as well as password cloud service, digital government cryptography security system, commercial cryptography application security assessment, car key management and application interaction, and internet of vehicles cryptography application solutions. It also provides identity and access management solutions, such as security authentication and IPSec/SSL VPN integrated security gateway, unified authentication management system, wireless unified authentication manager, zero trust, multi-factory strong identity authentication, and internet and government affairs unified identity authentication solutions; and trusted digital delivery products comprising electronic contract signing system, trusted electronic medical record management system, electronic certificate service system, electronic data preservation system, trusted electronic certificate service system, director signature electronic signature system, electronic bidding, and electronic signature platform solutions. In addition, the company offers electronic signature solutions, including signature verification and timestamp server, electronic signature system, handwritten information digital signature system and signature pad, collaborative signature system, cloud signature service platform, comprehensive electronic signature, handwritten signature, and electronic signature solutions for government affairs integration platform; and data security, and certificate and trust products. Its products are used in government affairs, medical, finance, transportation, education, enterprise, and other industries. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579) currently trades at ¥24.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.37, implying the stock looks roughly 279.8% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥6.02 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥24.19 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.99, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥4.77 (bear) to ¥8.66 (bull), the price of ¥24.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd reported revenue of 839M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was −94.3M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 6.5B CNY (≈ $975M) · P/S ratio 6.87 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3100 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −11.2% · Return on equity −10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% · Operating margin −6.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −74%, 300579 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.3900 to ¥6.20). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.

Bear ¥4.77 Fair Value ¥6.37 Bull ¥8.66

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF ¥4.72 ¥6.20 ¥8.33 80

Growth DCF ¥4.70 ¥6.06 ¥7.92 77

5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.50 ¥6.02 ¥8.02 71

All 9 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF ¥4.72 ¥6.20 ¥8.33 80

5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.50 ¥6.02 ¥8.02 71

10Y Revenue Exit ¥4.48 ¥5.85 ¥7.79 65

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥0.2400 ¥0.4300 ¥0.5900 68

DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2400 ¥0.3900 ¥0.4600 67

Multiples

EV/Revenue ¥4.45 ¥5.48 ¥6.51 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥1.49 ¥1.99 ¥2.97 51

Growth DCF

Growth DCF ¥4.70 ¥6.06 ¥7.92 77

Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.50 ¥6.02 ¥7.88 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 16

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 16

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 60

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 95

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 100

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 70

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 28

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 13

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−25.3%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−8.6%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−0.5%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.4% a year

Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+12.5%

’13

’15

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’18

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’20

’21

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’23

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’25

Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

14.1% (2020) → −18.5% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price

The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+39.7%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.4% a year for the price.

300579 screens 280% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 378 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 57 · Above median

Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) −7% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 9% · Below median

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.22× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 1.14× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 13.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 22

FUTURE (revenue growth)43 · sector 49

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 97

DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥6.37 −280%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300579" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">¥6.37</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−280%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300579

Frequently asked questions

Is BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.37 versus a price of ¥24.19, about −74% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 300579?

Our model-based fair value for BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd is ¥6.37 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥24.19.

What is the quality score of 300579?

BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.37 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥4.77, optimistic scenario ¥8.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥6.37, about −74% upside versus a price of ¥24.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥4.77, optimistic scenario ¥8.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 854M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).

Does BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd pay a dividend?

BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).

What growth is priced into BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +39.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300579 use?

Our models discount BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd that is +39.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd grew -0.5 % a year. The price currently implies +39.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (+39.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.09 %: that much free cash flow BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd it is ¥6.37 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥24.19. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 23, 2026, 300579 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥24.19, fair value ¥6.37, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 300579?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥24.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.37). For BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd the two are ¥17.82 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd worth?

The market values BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd at about 6.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥24.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.37 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300579?

Our models span a range for BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥4.77, base ¥6.37, optimistic ¥8.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥24.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

Balance-sheet figures for BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −10.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 300579 from its 52-week high?

BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd trades at ¥24.19, about 34% below its 52-week high of ¥36.43 and 24% above the low of ¥19.54 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.37 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd?

From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥24.19, calculated fair value ¥6.37 (−74%), Quality Score 57/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 300579 calculated?

We run BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥24.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.37, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥4.77 to ¥8.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

The market capitalisation of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd is 6.5B CNY (≈ $975M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

The price-to-sales ratio of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd is 6.87 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

Earnings per share at BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd are ¥−0.3100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

The dividend yield of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

The net margin of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd is −11.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

The return on equity (ROE) of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd is −10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd is 0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

The operating margin of BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd is −6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

Revenue at BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd is growing +8.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd (300579)?

Earnings per share at BeiJing Certificate Authority Co Ltd are growing −49.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

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