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Penyao Environmental Protection Co (300664) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY

PE Penyao Environmental Protection Co 300664 · SHE
Price¥4.56
Fair Value¥3.81
Upside-16.5%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.07% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.84 – ¥4.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +3.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥2.84 (bear) to ¥4.88 (bull), base ¥3.81. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.11 ¥3.81 Fair Value ¥3.81 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.81 – ¥7.11 · fair‑value band ¥2.84 – ¥4.88 · the ¥4.56 price screens above the ¥3.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Penyao Environmental Protection Co (300664) currently trades at ¥4.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.81, implying the stock looks roughly 16.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Penyao Environmental Protection Co generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue grew 24.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at 927M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.84 (bear case) to ¥4.88 (bull case); at ¥4.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -16%, 300664 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.20 ¥1.85 ¥2.69 80
Residual Income ¥4.16 ¥4.09 ¥3.60 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.64 ¥2.92 ¥4.26 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.15 ¥1.84 ¥2.78 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.18 ¥3.29 ¥4.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.64 ¥2.91 ¥4.46 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.38 ¥5.96 ¥8.83 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.96 ¥3.46 ¥4.95 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.36 ¥2.43 ¥3.74 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.49 ¥4.43 ¥6.82 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.62 ¥2.79 ¥4.08 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.53 ¥3.33 ¥4.23 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5200 ¥0.7400 ¥0.9700 46
EPV ¥2.84 ¥3.39 ¥3.87 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.55 ¥4.73 ¥5.91 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.87 ¥3.83 ¥4.79 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.87 ¥3.83 ¥4.79 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.40 ¥7.41 ¥9.42 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.54 ¥7.60 ¥9.66 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.13 ¥3.31 ¥4.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.84 ¥3.81 ¥5.68 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.20 ¥1.85 ¥2.69 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.64 ¥2.92 ¥4.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.16 ¥4.09 ¥3.60 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.84 ¥3.39 ¥3.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.63 ¥3.75 ¥4.88 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.83) versus Growth DCF (¥1.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.7%
Net margin 6.3%
Return on equity 2.6%
Free cash flow 135M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 29.8
More key figures
Operating margin 30.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1600
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -43.7%
Net debt 927M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 52
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Penyao Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. engages in environmental water treatment activities in China. It is involved in the research and development, consulting and design, equipment production and sales, engineering contracting, and project investment and operation management related to environmental water treatment.

Full company description

Penyao Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. engages in environmental water treatment activities in China. It is involved in the research and development, consulting and design, equipment production and sales, engineering contracting, and project investment and operation management related to environmental water treatment. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Yixing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Penyao Environmental Protection Co reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.1B in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥170M in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+9.4%
Revenue −5.6%/yr
FY21 ¥2.1B
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥2.1B
FY24 ¥1.9B
FY25 ¥1.7B
Net income −14.0%/yr
FY21 ¥311M
FY22 ¥233M
FY23 ¥258M
FY24 ¥159M
FY25 ¥170M

300664 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Veralto Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Penyao Environmental Protection Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300664

Peer Group

Pollution & Treatment Controls · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.84× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.09× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 14
PAST 10 · sector 10
HEALTH 91 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 41 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veralto Corporation VLTO $94.21 $69.11 -27%
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation ZWS $47.63 $24.92 -48%
Canmax Technologies Co 300390 ¥57.02 ¥10.41 -82%
CECO Environmental Corp CECO $83.63 $15.19 -82%
Fujian Longking Co 600388 ¥17.58 ¥15.59 -11%
Munters Group MTRS kr 166.60 kr 16.90 -90%
China Conch Venture Holdings 0586 HK$8.83 HK$14.14 +60%
Mega Union Technology Inc 6944 1,005 TWD 539.58 TWD -46%
MayAir Technology (China) Co 688376 ¥96.57 ¥18.80 -81%
Shanghai Emperor of Cleaning Hi-Tech Co 603200 ¥38.97 ¥5.73 -85%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Penyao Environmental Protection Co (300664) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.81 versus a price of ¥4.56, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300664?
Our model-based fair value for Penyao Environmental Protection Co is ¥3.81 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥4.56.
What is the quality score of 300664?
Penyao Environmental Protection Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Penyao Environmental Protection Co (300664)?
Penyao Environmental Protection Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300664?
The net profit margin of Penyao Environmental Protection Co is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Penyao Environmental Protection Co pay a dividend?
Penyao Environmental Protection Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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