Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co stock SAR 0.65, price SAR 2.48, upside -74.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value 30%+ above price?No
Quality 50+?No
In an uptrend?No
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.10 SAR – 5.88 SAR · fair‑value band 0.6120 SAR – 0.8925 SAR · the 2.48 SAR price screens above the 0.6460 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company engages in the manufacturing and sale of PET preforms and HDPE closure in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Plastic preforms; Plastic Caps; Printing materials; and Packaging materials segments.
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It manufactures and sells semi-finished products from plastics; cans and boxes from plastics; and bottles of various forms from plastics, as well as offers plastic products using roto mold method.
The company also offers packaging solutions, labels, flexible packaging, and self-adhesive stickers; and produces polyethylene packaging products for commercial, industrial, and household use. It exports its products to Yemen, Qatar, Bahrain, Sudan, Emirates, Kuwait, Jordan, Tunisia, and Djibouti.
Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007) currently trades at 2.48 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6460 SAR, 74.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 2.27 SAR per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the 2.48 SAR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.1500 SAR, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.6120 SAR (bear) to 0.8925 SAR (bull), the price of 2.48 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co reported revenue of 475M SAR in FY2025 versus 549M SAR in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 3.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding −52.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 793M SAR (≈ $211M) Micro · P/E ratio 13.8 · P/S ratio 1.50 · EPS (TTM) 0.1800 SAR · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 7.9% · Return on equity 13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −74%, 3007 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear0.6120 SARFair Value 0.6460 SARBull0.8925 SAR
Price 2.48 SAR · Upside -74.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1489 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF2.88 SAR3.58 SAR4.85 SAR82
Growth DCF2.95 SAR3.61 SAR4.72 SAR80
Owner Earnings1.71 SAR2.13 SAR2.89 SAR78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF2.88 SAR3.58 SAR4.85 SAR82
Owner Earnings1.71 SAR2.13 SAR2.89 SAR78
5Y Revenue Exit1.79 SAR2.20 SAR2.82 SAR74
5Y EBITDA Exit2.19 SAR2.87 SAR3.82 SAR76
5Y P/E Exit1.39 SAR1.52 SAR1.71 SAR72
10Y Revenue Exit2.25 SAR2.64 SAR3.04 SAR68
10Y EBITDA Exit2.48 SAR3.03 SAR3.60 SAR70
10Y P/E Exit2.05 SAR2.25 SAR2.41 SAR65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd0.1000 SAR0.1500 SAR0.1800 SAR67
EPV0.7200 SAR0.8100 SAR0.8900 SAR74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM0.3300 SAR0.3800 SAR0.4300 SAR69
DDM Multi-Stage0.3300 SAR0.4100 SAR0.4900 SAR67
Multiples
P/E Multiple0.1800 SAR0.2400 SAR0.3000 SAR63
P/S Multiple0.1800 SAR0.2400 SAR0.3000 SAR58
P/B Multiple2.88 SAR3.84 SAR4.80 SAR55
EV/EBIT0.3800 SAR0.7400 SAR1.11 SAR63
EV/EBITDA1.14 SAR1.76 SAR2.38 SAR66
EV/Revenue0.2300 SAR0.6400 SAR1.05 SAR50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)0.2500 SAR0.3800 SAR0.4800 SAR54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF2.95 SAR3.61 SAR4.72 SAR80
Rev-Margin DCF1.79 SAR2.27 SAR2.93 SAR74
Economic Profit
Residual Income0.8200 SAR0.7600 SAR0.7200 SAR76
ROIC Compounder0.7200 SAR0.8100 SAR0.8900 SAR72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E0.1300 SAR0.1800 SAR0.2400 SAR67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−47.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−48.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−48.9% vs −27.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.0% a year for the price.
Compare Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 257 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside−74.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)7.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)15.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)37.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)13.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B2.72× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.50× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow11.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA8.5× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 43
PAST (return on equity)55· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)37· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3007
Frequently asked questions
Is Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6460 SAR versus a price of 2.48 SAR, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3007?
Our model-based fair value for Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is 0.6460 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.48 SAR.
What is the quality score of 3007?
Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.6460 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.6120 SAR, optimistic scenario 0.8925 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.6460 SAR, about −74% upside versus a price of 2.48 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.6120 SAR, optimistic scenario 0.8925 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 528M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co pay a dividend?
Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co currently shows a dividend yield of 1.83% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co would have to grow free cash flow by +7.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.3 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3007 use?
Our models discount Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co that is +7.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co grew +2.3 % a year. The price currently implies +7.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (+7.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.62 %: that much free cash flow Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co it is 0.6460 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 2.48 SAR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 3007 trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.48 SAR, fair value 0.6460 SAR, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3007?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.48 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.6460 SAR). For Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co the two are 1.83 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co worth?
The market values Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co at about 793M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 2.48 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.6460 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3007?
Our models span a range for Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co: cautious scenario 0.6120 SAR, base 0.6460 SAR, optimistic 0.8925 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 2.48 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3007?
Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.6460 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.7, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 13.9%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3007 from its 52-week high?
Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co trades at 2.48 SAR, about 15% below its 52-week high of 2.93 SAR and 18% above the low of 2.10 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.6460 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Packaging Corporation, Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 2.48 SAR, calculated fair value 0.6460 SAR (−74%), Quality Score 47/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3007 calculated?
We run Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.6460 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 2.48 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 0.6460 SAR, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.8925 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007) come from?
Earnings per share at Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co grew −11.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.0 %, EBIT margin −11.8 %, tax rate −1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
The market capitalisation of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is 793M SAR (≈ $211M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is 1.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
Earnings per share at Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co are 0.1800 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
The dividend yield of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is 1.8% (payout 25.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
The net margin of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is 7.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
The operating margin of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
Revenue at Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is growing +37.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007)?
Earnings per share at Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co are growing +53.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co (3007) carry?
The net debt of Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co is 163M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 28, 2026