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Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company (3007) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SA · Market cap 621M SAR

ZA Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company 3007 · SR
Price2.75 SAR
Fair Value0.3655 SAR
Upside-86.7%
Quality50/100
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 35/100
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Evidence: High Range 0.3145 SAR – 0.4250 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price +1.5% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.4250 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

2.93 SAR 2.10 SAR Fair Value 0.3655 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 2.10 SAR – 2.93 SAR · fair‑value band 0.3145 SAR – 0.4250 SAR · the 2.75 SAR price screens above the 0.3655 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company (3007) currently trades at 2.75 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3655 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 86.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company generated revenue of 478M SAR at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at 163M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3145 SAR (bear case) to 0.4250 SAR (bull case); at 2.75 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -87%, 3007 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 478M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.3%
Net margin 4.2%
Return on equity 6.9%
Free cash flow 68.3M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 46.0
More key figures
Operating margin 9.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.0600 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) -13.5%
Net debt 163M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100
Profitability 28
Quality Growth 32
Cashflow 76
Fin. Strength 54
Investment 97
Low Volatility 83
Momentum 47
52W Momentum 53
Net Issuance 0

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company engages in the manufacturing and sale of PET preforms and HDPE closure in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Plastic preforms; Plastic Caps; Printing materials; and Packaging materials segments.

Full company description

Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company engages in the manufacturing and sale of PET preforms and HDPE closure in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Plastic preforms; Plastic Caps; Printing materials; and Packaging materials segments. It manufactures and sells semi-finished products from plastics; cans and boxes from plastics; and bottles of various forms from plastics, as well as offers plastic products using roto mold method. The company also offers packaging solutions, labels, flexible packaging, and self-adhesive stickers; and produces polyethylene packaging products for commercial, industrial, and household use. It exports its products to Yemen, Qatar, Bahrain, Sudan, Emirates, Kuwait, Jordan, Tunisia, and Djibouti. Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company reported revenue of 475M SAR in FY2025 versus 549M SAR in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 3.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding −52.8%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −3.5%/yr
FY21 549M SAR
FY22 625M SAR
FY23 572M SAR
FY24 545M SAR
FY25 475M SAR
Net income −52.8%/yr
FY21 64.6M SAR
FY22 15.7M SAR
FY23 33.9M SAR
FY24 12.1M SAR
FY25 3.2M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3007

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 10
FUTURE 12 / 1
PAST 27 / 20
HEALTH 99 / 92
DIVIDEND 0 / 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF $44.20 $27.40 -38%
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $41.28 $40.96 -1%
Amcor plc AMC A$55.35 A$24.28 -56%
Packaging Corporation P1KG34 R$572.23 R$272.73 -52%
International Paper Company I1PC34 R$170.68 R$84.00 -51%
Ball Corporation B1LL34 R$141.68 R$105.09 -26%
Avery Dennison Corporation A1VY34 R$405.00 R$52.13 -87%
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 104.50 kr 94.48 -10%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥33.57 ¥23.95 -29%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 27.00 THB 16.12 THB -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company (3007) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3655 SAR versus a price of 2.75 SAR, about −87% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3007?
Our model-based fair value for Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company is 0.3655 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.75 SAR.
What is the quality score of 3007?
Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company (3007)?
Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 478M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3007?
The net profit margin of Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company is about 4.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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