Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co ¥3.03, price ¥15.19, upside -80.1%, quality 19 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.51 – ¥28.06 · fair‑value band ¥2.26 – ¥4.52 · the ¥15.19 price screens above the ¥3.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co., Ltd engages in research, development, production, and sale of polypropylene (PP) yarn in China and internationally. Its products include modern PP BCF yarn, modern PP DTY, functional PP, PP FDY yarn, PP FDY yarn twisted, and PP profiled wires. The company also exports its products.
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Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co., Ltd engages in research, development, production, and sale of polypropylene (PP) yarn in China and internationally. Its products include modern PP BCF yarn, modern PP DTY, functional PP, PP FDY yarn, PP FDY yarn twisted, and PP profiled wires. The company also exports its products. Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co., Ltd was founded in 1993 and is based in Jieyang, China.
Stock analysis
Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876) currently trades at ¥15.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.03, implying the stock looks roughly 402.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ¥2.26 (bear) to ¥4.52 (bull), the price of ¥15.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co reported revenue of 518M CNY in FY2025 versus 397M CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −61.9M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6B CNY (≈ $386M) · P/S ratio 4.96 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.4200 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −12.0% · Return on equity −6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin −9.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −80%, 300876 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.26Fair Value ¥3.03Bull ¥4.52
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.22/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
25.1% (2020) → −7.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 344 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−10% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.38× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.38× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.74× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA68.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 11
FUTURE (revenue growth)14· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)81· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)16· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300876
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.03 versus a price of ¥15.19, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300876?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is ¥3.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.19.
What is the quality score of 300876?
Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.26, optimistic scenario ¥4.52. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.03, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥15.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.26, optimistic scenario ¥4.52. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 521M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co pay a dividend?
Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.81% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co it is ¥3.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥15.19. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 300876 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥15.19, fair value ¥3.03, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300876?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.03). For Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co the two are ¥12.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co worth?
The market values Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co at about 2.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.19; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300876?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co: cautious scenario ¥2.26, base ¥3.03, optimistic ¥4.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥15.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −6.2%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300876 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co trades at ¥15.19, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥28.06 and 21% above the low of ¥12.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Shenzhou International Group, Tongkun Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, K.P.R. Mill Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥15.19, calculated fair value ¥3.03 (−80%), Quality Score 19/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300876 calculated?
We run Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥15.19. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.03, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.52). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥2.26 to ¥4.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is 2.6B CNY (≈ $386M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is 4.96 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co are ¥−0.4200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
The net margin of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is −12.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is −6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is −9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
Revenue at Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is growing +2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co are growing +53.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is −245M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co (300876) carry?
The net debt of Guangdong Modern High Tech Fiber Co is 462M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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