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Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co (300876) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.6B CNY

GM Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co 300876 · SHE
Price¥15.56
Fair Value¥3.83
Upside-75.4%
Quality19/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -11.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 7/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥2.86 – ¥5.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +4.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.86 to ¥5.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥28.06 ¥8.51 Fair Value ¥3.83 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.51 – ¥28.06 · fair‑value band ¥2.86 – ¥5.70 · the ¥15.56 price screens above the ¥3.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co (300876) currently trades at ¥15.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.83, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co generated revenue of 521M CNY at a net margin of -11.4%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.2%. Net debt stands at 462M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.86 (bear case) to ¥5.70 (bull case); at ¥15.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -75%, 300876 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.36 ¥4.50 ¥6.71 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.36 ¥4.50 ¥6.71 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 521M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7%
Net margin -11.4%
Return on equity -6.2%
Free cash flow −245M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -9.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.4200
EPS growth (YoY) +53.0%
Net debt 462M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co., Ltd engages in research, development, production, and sale of polypropylene (PP) yarn in China and internationally. Its products include modern PP BCF yarn, modern PP DTY, functional PP, PP FDY yarn, PP FDY yarn twisted, and PP profiled wires. The company also exports its products.

Full company description

Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co., Ltd engages in research, development, production, and sale of polypropylene (PP) yarn in China and internationally. Its products include modern PP BCF yarn, modern PP DTY, functional PP, PP FDY yarn, PP FDY yarn twisted, and PP profiled wires. The company also exports its products. Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co., Ltd was founded in 1993 and is based in Jieyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co reported revenue of ¥518M in FY2025 versus ¥397M in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥61.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 22/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
518M CNY
Latest YoY
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY21 ¥397M
FY22 ¥394M
FY23 ¥455M
FY24 ¥493M
FY25 ¥518M
Net income
FY21 ¥69.2M
FY22 ¥49.6M
FY23 ¥21.5M
FY24 −¥64.5M
FY25 −¥61.9M

300876 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300876

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 307 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -11% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.38× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.38× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 68.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 14 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 81 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co (300876) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.83 versus a price of ¥15.56, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300876?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co is ¥3.83 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥15.56.
What is the quality score of 300876?
Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co (300876)?
Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 521M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300876?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Modern High-tech Fiber Co is about -11.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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