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Anhui Hyea Aromas Co (300886) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 1.7B CNY

AH Anhui Hyea Aromas Co 300886 · SHE
Price¥23.64
Fair Value¥5.96
Upside-74.8%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 6.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
4.45% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.13 – ¥7.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥41.15 ¥11.35 Fair Value ¥5.96 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.35 – ¥41.15 · fair‑value band ¥5.13 – ¥7.37 · the ¥23.64 price screens above the ¥5.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Anhui Hyea Aromas Co (300886) currently trades at ¥23.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.96, implying the stock looks roughly 74.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Anhui Hyea Aromas Co generated revenue of 387M CNY at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 15.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 53.4M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.13 (bear case) to ¥7.37 (bull case); at ¥23.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -75%, 300886 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥5.68 ¥5.62 ¥5.01 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.42 ¥3.86 ¥4.22 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.97 ¥5.67 ¥7.37 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.74 ¥10.04 ¥13.55 54
Lynch FV ¥2.40 ¥3.42 ¥4.45 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.40 ¥3.42 ¥4.45 46
EPV ¥3.42 ¥3.86 ¥4.22 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.13 ¥6.84 ¥8.55 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.13 ¥6.84 ¥8.55 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.13 ¥6.84 ¥8.55 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.88 ¥6.43 ¥7.98 53
EV/EBITDA ¥5.79 ¥7.64 ¥9.49 54
EV/Revenue ¥4.26 ¥5.99 ¥7.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.93 ¥5.26 ¥7.86 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.68 ¥5.62 ¥5.01 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.42 ¥3.86 ¥4.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.97 ¥5.67 ¥7.37 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥6.84) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.42). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 387M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.3%
Net margin 6.0%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow −59.8M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 71.7
More key figures
Operating margin 5.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3100
Dividend yield 4.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -61.8%
Net cash 53.4M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Anhui Hyea Aromas Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of fine chemicals in China and internationally. It offers peach and coconut aldehyde. The company also provides c-position decyl and dodecyl lactone; octyl, capro, and c- valero lactone under Gamma brand name.

Full company description

Anhui Hyea Aromas Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of fine chemicals in China and internationally. It offers peach and coconut aldehyde. The company also provides c-position decyl and dodecyl lactone; octyl, capro, and c- valero lactone under Gamma brand name. In addition, it offers butylated decyl, ß-Dode, octyl, butyl nonyl, and ß-undecyl lactone under Butyl brand name. Further, it provides online consultation services. It serves food and beverage, daily chemical, tobacco, and animal feed industries. The company was formerly known as Anhui Huaye Fragrance Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Qianshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Anhui Hyea Aromas Co reported revenue of ¥372M in FY2025 versus ¥246M in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥30.2M in FY2025, compounding +14.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 49/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
372M CNY
Latest YoY
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Revenue +10.9%/yr
FY21 ¥246M
FY22 ¥255M
FY23 ¥269M
FY24 ¥345M
FY25 ¥372M
Net income +14.5%/yr
FY21 ¥17.6M
FY22 ¥20.8M
FY23 −¥3.9M
FY24 ¥22.1M
FY25 ¥30.2M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −2.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.6 pp

of which total revenue +6.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.1 pp

EBIT margin −3.2 pp
Tax rate +1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300886 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Anhui Hyea Aromas Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300886

Peer Group

Chemicals · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.5% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 71.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.31× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 35.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 77 · sector 20
PAST 16 · sector 19
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 89 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Anhui Hyea Aromas Co (300886) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.96 versus a price of ¥23.64, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300886?
Our model-based fair value for Anhui Hyea Aromas Co is ¥5.96 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥23.64.
What is the quality score of 300886?
Anhui Hyea Aromas Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Anhui Hyea Aromas Co (300886)?
Anhui Hyea Aromas Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 387M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300886?
The net profit margin of Anhui Hyea Aromas Co is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Anhui Hyea Aromas Co pay a dividend?
Anhui Hyea Aromas Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.45% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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